Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / COOK / financials

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Traeger Inc. (COOK) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$52.26 +6.85% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $52.81

Traeger Inc. (COOK) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $146.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $52.80 (+1.04%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 2.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for COOK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY COOK SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 48% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 62.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 14 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$51.60-14.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$44.18+6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$46.84+11.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D$52.26-5.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (39) → D (47)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a COOK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While COOK currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($49.87) and Max Pain ($54.87) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $90.92.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $COOK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “COOK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How COOK Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$13.6M (2.4% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $605.9M

FY24

Rev $604.1M

FY25

Rev $559.5M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$559.5M	39.2%	-17.5%	-$115.2M	$13.6M	-14%
FY 2024	$604.1M	42.3%	-0.5%	-$34.0M	$11.9M	-0.4%
FY 2023	$605.9M	39.2%	-9.2%	-$84.4M	$64.0M	-14%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring COOK)

✓Walkthrough of COOK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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COOK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.38%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $51.61H $53.40L $51.38C $52.26VOL 94.3K

RES: $48.57SUP: $35.80SMA50: $49.87SMA200: $50.93

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

COOK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 COOK Butterfly Map → + Track COOK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on COOK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for COOK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for COOK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (COOK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #712 of 1011 ⚔️ VIOT vs COOK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (COOK vs. VIOT, ATTT, WHR, PLBL)

Industry: Consumer Electronics/Appliances (22 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Traeger Inc. (COOK) ranks #712 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #727 by equity capitalization ($146.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WHR leads on earnings valuation at 6.1x trailing P/E, while VIOT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.2% ROIC and 25.3% gross margin. VIOT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with COOK at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
COOK ACTIVE Traeger Inc.	D	47/100	—	39.2%	-14.0%	+6.85%	$146.2M	Benchmark Subject
VIOT Viomi Technology Co. Ltd	D+	57/100	—	25.3%	13.2%	-6.47%	$87.5M	/viot-vs-cook →
ATTT Atlas Trinity Tech Limited	D-	38/100	6.8x	—	—	-2.37%	$14.4M	/attt-vs-cook →
WHR Whirlpool Corporation	D-	39/100	6.1x	15.4%	8.7%	+7.47%	$1.93B	/whr-vs-cook →
PLBL Polibeli Group Ltd (Class A)	E	30/100	—	8.0%	-6.1%	-1.28%	$1.97B	/plbl-vs-cook →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001857853

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Traeger Inc. (COOK) reported GAAP revenue of $559.5M (-7.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $604.1M , and -7.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$115.2M, operating cash flow of $20.5M, and free cash flow of $13.6M (+14.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, COOK closed FY2025 with $676.0M in total assets against $399.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$559.5M	-$115.2M	$20.5M	$13.6M	$676.0M	$399.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$604.1M	-$34.0M	$23.9M	$11.9M	$830.7M	$398.4M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$605.9M	-$84.4M	$64.0M	$64.0M	—	—

3. COOK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is COOK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Traeger Inc. (NYSE: COOK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $52.26 (+6.85% 1D, market cap $146.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, COOK ranks #712 in composite RQD confidence.

How does COOK compare to VIOT and ATTT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Electronics/Appliances), COOK carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.2%, and ROIC of -14.0%. By comparison, VIOT (Viomi Technology Co. Ltd) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 13.2%, cap $87.5M) and ATTT (Atlas Trinity Tech Limited) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 6.8x, ROIC —, cap $14.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, WHR leads on earnings multiple (6.1x) while VIOT leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COOK?

Per COOK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001857853), Traeger Inc. generated $559.5M in revenue (-7.4% YoY), -$115.2M in net income, and $13.6M in free cash flow against $676.0M in total assets and $399.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is COOK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

COOK last traded at $52.26 (+6.85% on volume of 170,072 shares), positioning the stock +4.79% above its 50-day simple moving average ($49.87) and +2.61% above its 200-day simple moving average ($50.93). Across its 52-week range of $20.91 to $86.59, COOK sits at the 47.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.6% ($46.72 to $57.80).