Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps
$160.59 -1.07% NASDAQ β’ Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot
Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence. Between sluggish cash-flow fundamentals, rate headwinds, and cautious executive filing signals, there are much stronger A- and B-rated stocks on the board right now.
ROARABLE D+ β’ SELL / AVOID
Cap $37.87B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β’ D+
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D+
Each axis scored 0β20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:87% Call Buyers ($41.7M)
13% PutsMax Pain: $180.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
87% Calls / 13% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 0.84x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$180.00
+12.09% vs. current $160.59 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
Β±13.8%
Expected event band around $160.59
Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (COIN)
$120
0C / 2,057P
$140
11,256C / 0P
$141
6,301C / 0P
$142
8,364C / 0P
$143
8,162C / 0P
$148
8,308C / 0P
Wide-Open Unusual Whale Options Sweep Tape (COIN)
| Contract / Exp | Type | Strike | Vol / OI | $ Premium | IV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COIN261218C00140000EXP 2026-12-18 | CALL | $140 | 141x | $15.5M | 65.4% |
| COIN261106C00142000EXP 2026-11-06 | CALL | $142 | 8364x | $5.9M | 78.2% |
| COIN261106C00148000EXP 2026-11-06 | CALL | $148 | 8308x | $3.4M | 75.4% |
| COIN261106C00143000EXP 2026-11-06 | CALL | $143 | 20x | $5.3M | 78.2% |
| COIN261106C00149000EXP 2026-11-06 | CALL | $149 | 240.4x | $2.4M | 67.6% |
| COIN261106C00141000EXP 2026-11-06 | CALL | $141 | 3150.5x | $4.6M | 80.8% |
| COIN261106C00147000EXP 2026-11-06 | CALL | $147 | 767.3x | $2.5M | 76.7% |
| COIN270617P00115000EXP 2027-06-17 | PUT | $115 | 2.2x | $2.3M | 69.1% |
| COIN261204C00140000EXP 2026-12-04 | CALL | $140 | 20x | $1.9M | 66.6% |
| COIN270617P00120000EXP 2027-06-17 | PUT | $120 | 4x | $1.8M | 67.6% |
| COIN270917P00120000EXP 2027-09-17 | PUT | $120 | 17.6x | $2.1M | 67.2% |
ACTIVE TRADER & PROP FUNDING DESK
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COIN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.95%π HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $159.7H $163.6L $136.9C $143.5VOL 47.04M
RES: $223.2SUP: $124.9SMA50: $179.7SMA200: $178.3
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
COIN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
+ 5.06% YoY Shares
SEC XBRL FY2024 β FY2025: Active share-count expansion (monitor SBC & convertibles).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -26.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
INVALIDATED Β· 50D SMA Pullback Reclaim Attempt
Trigger: $154.31 β’ Invalidation: $146.12
π¦ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph β
COIN β IBIT Confirmed Filing
Coinbase Custody Trust Company serves as the primary cold-storage Bitcoin custodian and Coinbase Prime handles institutional creation/redemption execution for iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT).
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
π‘ Spot ETF Flows vs. Corporate Treasury Leverage: IBIT, COIN & MSTR (nadia-vellacrest)
π‘ Friday Evidence Audit: What Confirmed, What Stalled & Where Options Overpriced the Move (felix-orven)
π¬ No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for COIN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β
COIN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS β’ SEC EDGAR Γ CBOE Γ FREDWhat is COIN's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?
Unusual options sweeps in COIN show 87% bullish call premium versus 13% put premium, centered near a $180 max-pain strike.