MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
Does Karman Stock's Valuation Make Sense?For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
Why CODA Stock dropped -5.49% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$9.05 -5.49% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.98
Coda Octopus Group Inc. (CODA) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 78/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (67% profit margin, 12% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B+ • BUY
Cap $108.0M
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Is CODA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Coda Octopus Group Inc. (NASDAQ: CODA) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 78/100 at a spot price of $9.05 (-5.49% 1D, market cap $108.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CODA ranks #10 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does CODA compare to BYRN and OWLT in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CODA carries a Roarable B+ (78/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.1x, gross margin of 66.5%, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, BYRN (Byrna Technologies Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $111.4M) and OWLT (Owlet Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $122.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BYRN leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while CEPL leads on capital efficiency (59.3% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CODA?
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Per CODA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31, CIK 0001334325), Coda Octopus Group Inc. generated $26.6M in revenue (+30.7% YoY), $4.1M in net income, and $6.0M in free cash flow against $65.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (67% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.98 (-0.75%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 22.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 78/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.6% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk A-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CODA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (78/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CODA SCORES 78/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (23% of score)
Altman Z-Score 13.35 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 22.7% FCF Margin ($6.0M FCF) & 66.5% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade A$10.25-3.1% Next Q
86
Q2 (-2Q)Grade A$9.93-7.8% Next Q
83
Q3 (-1Q)Grade A-$9.16-1.2% Next Q
81
CurrentGrade B+$9.05+7.9% Hist 90D α
78
Trajectory: A (86) → B+ (78)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CODA Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 78/100 (B+) score, CODA faces multiple-compression risk if 26.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 64.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($10.22) or 200D SMA ($11.22) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($9.86) toward Bear Floor ($7.42).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CODA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CODA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 29, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CODA Stock dropped -5.49% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Coda Octopus Group Inc. (CODA) dropped -5.49% to $9.05, trading at 13% of its 52-week range ($7.8 – $17.28). High-quality cash engine (67% profit margin, 12% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 13% of its 52-week range ($7.8 – $17.28) with RSI-14 at 32.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.1% around $9.05 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B+ (Buy) backed by 66.5% gross margin and $6.0M annual free cash flow.
Live CODA Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 6d ago
Has The Story Under ATI Stock Run Out?For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CODA Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
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CODA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.98%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $9.42H $9.42L $9.00C $9.05VOL 64.7K
RES: $11.89SUP: $8.85SMA50: $10.22SMA200: $11.22
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CODA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
19.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +30.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CODA today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CODA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CODA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CODA)
Industrials Rank #10 of 485
⚔️ BYRN vs CODA Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CODA vs. BYRN, OWLT, CEPL, CBAT)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Coda Octopus Group Inc. (CODA) ranks #10 by composite RQD confidence (78/100, grade B+) and #373 by equity capitalization ($108.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BYRN leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while CEPL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 59.3% ROIC and 32.0% gross margin. CODA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 78/100 (B+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CODA
ACTIVE
Coda Octopus Group Inc. | B+ | 78/100 | 26.1x | 66.5% | 12.0% | -5.49% | $108.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| BYRN Byrna Technologies Inc. | D+ | 58/100 | 11.5x | 60.5% | 18.0% | -9.66% | $111.4M | /byrn-vs-coda → |
| OWLT Owlet Inc. (Class A) | E | 29/100 | — | 50.9% | -35.0% | -3.34% | $122.4M | /owlt-vs-coda → |
| CEPL Capstone Energy Plus Inc. | D- | 43/100 | 32.3x | 32.0% | 59.3% | -5.05% | $90.3M | /cepl-vs-coda → |
| CBAT CBAK Energy Technology Limited | C | 62/100 | — | — | — | +13.18% | $86.9M | /cbat-vs-coda → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-10-31 • CIK 0001334325In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31), Coda Octopus Group Inc. (CODA) reported GAAP revenue of $26.6M (+30.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $20.3M , and +37.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.1M, operating cash flow of $7.2M, and free cash flow of $6.0M (+209.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CODA closed FY2025 with $65.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 13.35, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-10-31 | $26.6M | $4.1M | $7.2M | $6.0M | $65.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-10-31 | $20.3M | $3.6M | $2.5M | $1.9M | $56.9M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-10-31 | $19.4M | $3.1M | $2.4M | $2.4M | — | — |
3. CODA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CODA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Coda Octopus Group Inc. (NASDAQ: CODA) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 78/100 at a spot price of $9.05 (-5.49% 1D, market cap $108.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CODA ranks #10 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CODA compare to BYRN and OWLT in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CODA carries a Roarable B+ (78/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.1x, gross margin of 66.5%, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, BYRN (Byrna Technologies Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $111.4M) and OWLT (Owlet Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $122.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BYRN leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while CEPL leads on capital efficiency (59.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CODA?
Per CODA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31, CIK 0001334325), Coda Octopus Group Inc. generated $26.6M in revenue (+30.7% YoY), $4.1M in net income, and $6.0M in free cash flow against $65.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (67% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CODA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CODA last traded at $9.05 (-5.49% on volume of 64,722 shares), positioning the stock -11.45% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.22) and -19.34% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.22). Across its 52-week range of $7.80 to $17.28, CODA sits at the 13.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.1% ($8.32 to $9.78).
CODA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CODA stock moving today?
Why CODA Stock dropped -5.49% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (67% profit margin, 12% return on capital) with steady institutional support.