Stock Ratings / Health Care / CNMD / earnings

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CONMED Corporation (CNMD) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.3% Move

$45.72 -0.09% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.63

CONMED Corporation (CNMD) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.36B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.62 (-0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 11% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CNMD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CNMD SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.91 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$44.42+5.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$46.72+5.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$49.25-7.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C$45.72+0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → C (62)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CNMD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, CNMD faces multiple-compression risk if 28.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 52.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($47.08) or 200D SMA ($41.41) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($46.54) toward Bear Floor ($36.30).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CNMD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CNMD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.3% Swing Band

±$4.25 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CNMD Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 62/100

Trailing EPS: $1.58 • YoY Revenue Growth: 5.2%

Model Bullish Setup (62/100)Model Risk Weight (38/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$1.37B	$47.1M	$150.9M	54.6%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$1.31B	$132.4M	$153.9M	56.1%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$1.24B	$64.5M	$125.3M	54.6%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CNMD & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CNMD
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CNMD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +24.71%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-10-30O $45.71H $46.33L $43.67C $45.72VOL 404.1K

RES: $49.46SUP: $46.81SMA50: $47.08SMA200: $41.41

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CNMD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CNMD Butterfly Map → + Track CNMD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

22.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CNMD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CNMD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CNMD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CNMD)

Health Care Rank #170 of 1016 ⚔️ CBLL vs CNMD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (CNMD vs. CBLL, TMDX, INMD, AXGN)

Industry: Biotechnology: Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus (26 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CONMED Corporation (CNMD) ranks #170 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #318 by equity capitalization ($1.36B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TMDX leads on earnings valuation at 12.2x trailing P/E, while TMDX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.1% ROIC and 59.9% gross margin. INMD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with CNMD at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CNMD ACTIVE CONMED Corporation	C	62/100	28.9x	54.6%	7.8%	-0.09%	$1.36B	Benchmark Subject
CBLL CeriBell Inc.	D	45/100	—	87.9%	-35.0%	+2.20%	$1.07B	/cbll-vs-cnmd →
TMDX TransMedics Group Inc.	C+	69/100	12.2x	59.9%	18.1%	+0.33%	$2.33B	/tmdx-vs-cnmd →
INMD InMode Ltd.	B	74/100	—	78.5%	17.7%	+1.05%	$776.6M	/inmd-vs-cnmd →
AXGN Axogen Inc.	D+	54/100	—	74.3%	-2.6%	+0.77%	$2.96B	/axgn-vs-cnmd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000816956

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CONMED Corporation (CNMD) reported GAAP revenue of $1.37B (+5.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.31B , and +10.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $47.1M, operating cash flow of $170.7M, and free cash flow of $150.9M (-2.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CNMD closed FY2025 with $2.33B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.91, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.37B	$47.1M	$170.7M	$150.9M	$2.33B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.31B	$132.4M	$167.0M	$153.9M	$2.31B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.24B	$64.5M	$125.3M	$125.3M	—	—

3. CNMD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CNMD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, CONMED Corporation (NYSE: CNMD) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $45.72 (-0.09% 1D, market cap $1.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, CNMD ranks #170 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CNMD compare to CBLL and TMDX in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus), CNMD carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 28.9x, gross margin of 54.6%, and ROIC of 7.8%. By comparison, CBLL (CeriBell Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.07B) and TMDX (TransMedics Group Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 12.2x, ROIC 18.1%, cap $2.33B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TMDX leads on earnings multiple (12.2x) while TMDX leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNMD?

Per CNMD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000816956), CONMED Corporation generated $1.37B in revenue (+5.2% YoY), $47.1M in net income, and $150.9M in free cash flow against $2.33B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CNMD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CNMD last traded at $45.72 (-0.09% on volume of 482,213 shares), positioning the stock -2.89% below its 50-day simple moving average ($47.08) and +10.41% above its 200-day simple moving average ($41.41). Across its 52-week range of $31.44 to $53.66, CNMD sits at the 64.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.3% ($41.47 to $49.97).

CNMD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CNMD's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, CONMED Corporation (CNMD)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is CNMD stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.3% event move for CNMD, spanning a range between $41.47 and $49.97.

Direct Sub-Reports: CNMD RQD Cockpit CNMD 12M Forecast CNMD Earnings & Move CNMD Dividends & DRIP CNMD Insiders & 13F CNMD Whale Options CNMD Profit Sankey CNMD News & Why