Stock Ratings / Financials / CMTG / dividends

AOMR (46) DOUG (48) CHCI (63) BEEP (40) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$1.15 -2.54% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.14

Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $166.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CMTG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CMTG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (NYSE: CMTG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.15 (-2.54% 1D, market cap $166.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CMTG ranks #997 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CMTG compare to AOMR and DOUG in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), CMTG carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -31.9%. By comparison, AOMR (Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 3.8x, ROIC 16.5%, cap $169.0M) and DOUG (Douglas Elliman Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 9.6x, ROIC 52.5%, cap $145.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AOMR leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while DOUG leads on capital efficiency (52.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMTG?

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Per CMTG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001666291), Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. generated $187.8M in revenue (-24.4% YoY), -$489.1M in net income, and -$30.5M in free cash flow against $4.72B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.14 (-0.65%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CMTG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CMTG SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 38.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.20-1.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.18+2.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$1.21-5% Next Q

Current

Grade E$1.15-8.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CMTG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CMTG currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.36) and Max Pain ($1.21) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.80.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CMTG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CMTG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

0.6% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.1K

Yr 2

$11.7K

Yr 3

$12.4K

Yr 4

$13.1K

Yr 5

$13.8K

Yr 6

$14.5K

Yr 7

$15.3K

Yr 8

$16.2K

Yr 9

$17.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CMTG)

✓Walkthrough of CMTG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CMTG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -56.44%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $1.16H $1.18L $1.14C $1.15VOL 559.6K

RES: $1.20SUP: $1.02SMA50: $1.36SMA200: $2.13

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CMTG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CMTG Butterfly Map → + Track CMTG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -24.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CMTG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CMTG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CMTG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CMTG)

Financials Rank #997 of 1096 ⚔️ AOMR vs CMTG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CMTG vs. AOMR, DOUG, CHCI, BEEP)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) ranks #997 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #916 by equity capitalization ($166.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AOMR leads on earnings valuation at 3.8x trailing P/E, while DOUG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 52.5% ROIC and — gross margin. CHCI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with CMTG at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CMTG ACTIVE Claros Mortgage Trust Inc.	E	34/100	—	—	-31.9%	-2.54%	$166.5M	Benchmark Subject
AOMR Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc.	D	46/100	3.8x	—	16.5%	-3.57%	$169.0M	/aomr-vs-cmtg →
DOUG Douglas Elliman Inc.	D	48/100	9.6x	—	52.5%	-3.12%	$145.4M	/doug-vs-cmtg →
CHCI Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A)	C	63/100	11.3x	—	24.4%	-3.85%	$192.1M	/chci-vs-cmtg →
BEEP Mobile Infrastructure Corporation	D-	40/100	—	—	-15.2%	-0.39%	$104.5M	/beep-vs-cmtg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001666291

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) reported GAAP revenue of $187.8M (-24.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $248.4M , and -38.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$489.1M, operating cash flow of -$30.5M, and free cash flow of -$30.5M (-136.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CMTG closed FY2025 with $4.72B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$187.8M	-$489.1M	-$30.5M	-$30.5M	$4.72B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$248.4M	-$221.3M	$84.5M	$84.5M	$6.97B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$306.6M	$6.0M	$111.1M	$111.1M	—	—

3. CMTG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CMTG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CMTG compare to AOMR and DOUG in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMTG?

Where is CMTG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CMTG last traded at $1.15 (-2.54% on volume of 559,566 shares), positioning the stock -15.44% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.36) and -46.01% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.13). Across its 52-week range of $1.09 to $3.62, CMTG sits at the 2.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.0% ($1.02 to $1.28).

CMTG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does CMTG pay a dividend and is it safe?

Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: CMTG RQD Cockpit CMTG 12M Forecast CMTG Earnings & Move CMTG Dividends & DRIP CMTG Insiders & 13F CMTG Whale Options CMTG Profit Sankey CMTG News & Why