Stock Ratings / Industrials / CMI / earnings

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Cummins Inc. (CMI) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.6% Move

$518.03 -2.51% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Cummins Inc. (CMI) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $71.31B

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CMI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.6% Swing Band

±$29.01 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CMI Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 64/100

Trailing EPS: $22.81 • YoY Revenue Growth: -1.3%

Model Bullish Setup (64/100)Model Risk Weight (36/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$33.67B	$0	$2.39B	25.3%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$34.10B	$0	$279.0M	24.7%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$34.06B	$0	$2.43B	25.3%

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CMI & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

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CMI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.12%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-01O $531.4H $531.4L $518.0C $518.0VOL 1.31M

RES: $530.8SUP: $476.5SMA50: $535.5SMA200: $602.8

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CMI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CMI Butterfly Map → + Track CMI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

16.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CMI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CMI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

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DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CMI)

Industrials Rank #79 of 166 ⚔️ NOC vs CMI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CMI vs. NOC, ITW, AME, KEYS)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (68 Tracked Issuers)

Across 166 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cummins Inc. (CMI) ranks #79 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #24 by equity capitalization ($71.31B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NOC leads on earnings valuation at 19.1x trailing P/E, while ITW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.4% ROIC and 52.9% gross margin. ITW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with CMI at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CMI ACTIVE Cummins Inc.	C	64/100	22.7x	25.3%	17.5%	-2.51%	$71.31B	Benchmark Subject
NOC Northrop Grumman Corporation	C+	68/100	19.1x	—	13.0%	+1.74%	$79.89B	/noc-vs-cmi →
ITW Illinois Tool Works Inc.	B+	76/100	24.3x	52.9%	23.4%	+1.93%	$79.97B	/itw-vs-cmi →
AME AMETEK Inc.	B+	76/100	39.0x	36.0%	13.4%	+1.47%	$57.72B	/ame-vs-cmi →
KEYS Keysight Technologies Inc.	C+	67/100	66.1x	62.1%	10.5%	-1.69%	$56.15B	/keys-vs-cmi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000026172

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cummins Inc. (CMI) reported GAAP revenue of $33.67B (-1.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $34.10B , and -1.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $3.62B, and free cash flow of $2.39B (+755.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CMI closed FY2025 with $33.99B in total assets against $9.26B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.65, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$33.67B	$0	$3.62B	$2.39B	$33.99B	$9.26B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$34.10B	$0	$1.49B	$279.0M	$31.54B	$9.10B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$34.06B	$0	$3.97B	$2.43B	$40.88B	$9.57B

3. CMI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Cummins Inc. (NYSE: CMI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $518.03 (-2.51% 1D, market cap $71.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 166 tracked Industrials issuers, CMI ranks #79 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CMI compare to NOC and ITW in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CMI carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.7x, gross margin of 25.3%, and ROIC of 17.5%. By comparison, NOC (Northrop Grumman Corporation) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 13.0%, cap $79.89B) and ITW (Illinois Tool Works Inc.) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 24.3x, ROIC 23.4%, cap $79.97B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NOC leads on earnings multiple (19.1x) while ITW leads on capital efficiency (23.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMI?

Per CMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000026172), Cummins Inc. generated $33.67B in revenue (-1.3% YoY), $0 in net income, and $2.39B in free cash flow against $33.99B in total assets and $9.26B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (25% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CMI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CMI last traded at $518.03 (-2.51% on volume of 1,305,735 shares), positioning the stock -3.27% below its 50-day simple moving average ($535.54) and -14.06% below its 200-day simple moving average ($602.78). Across its 52-week range of $426.79 to $737.76, CMI sits at the 29.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($489.02 to $547.04).

CMI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CMI's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Cummins Inc. (CMI)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is CMI stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.6% event move for CMI, spanning a range between $489.02 and $547.04.

Direct Sub-Reports: CMI RQD Cockpit CMI 12M Forecast CMI Earnings & Move CMI Dividends & DRIP CMI Insiders & 13F CMI Whale Options CMI Profit Sankey CMI News & Why