CompX International Inc. (CIX) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$35.68 -0.75% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.56

CompX International Inc. (CIX) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $440.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.56 (-0.33%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 12.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (8)SEC (15)Macro (10)CEO (19)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
$43 Bull$37 Base$29 Bear
📬 FREE CIX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CIX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CIX SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
73
Grade B$39.26-8.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$35.95+0.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$36.10-1.2% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$35.68+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CIX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, CIX faces multiple-compression risk if 22.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 27.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($36.21) or 200D SMA ($27.74) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($36.80) toward Bear Floor ($28.70).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CIX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CIX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±9%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CIX)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CIX.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CIX & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CIX
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CIX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +53.33%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $35.17H $37.35L $35.17C $35.68VOL 13.7K
RES: $46.99SUP: $33.32SMA50: $36.21SMA200: $27.74
$41.56$36.32$31.08$25.84$20.60RES $46.99SUP $33.32$35.682026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CIX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CIX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CIX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CIX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CIX)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #288 of 1011 ⚔️ ACU vs CIX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CIX vs. ACU, KODK, GPRO, LCUT)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CompX International Inc. (CIX) ranks #288 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #601 by equity capitalization ($440.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CIX leads on earnings valuation at 22.6x trailing P/E, while CIX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.1% ROIC and 30.4% gross margin. ACU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with CIX at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CIX ACTIVE
CompX International Inc.
C 65/100 22.6x 30.4% 21.1% -0.75% $440.2M Benchmark Subject
ACU
Acme United Corporation.
C+ 66/100 25.6x 39.4% 9.2% +1.89% $261.1M /acu-vs-cix →
KODK
Eastman Kodak Company Common
D 45/100 — 21.7% 0.0% -0.95% $913.4M /kodk-vs-cix →
GPRO
GoPro Inc. (Class A)
E 24/100 — 33.6% -35.0% -2.91% $206.4M /gpro-vs-cix →
LCUT
Lifetime Brands Inc.
D 44/100 — 37.1% -3.8% +1.82% $192.9M /lcut-vs-cix →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001049606

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CompX International Inc. (CIX) reported GAAP revenue of $158.3M (+8.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $145.9M , and -1.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $19.5M, operating cash flow of $22.9M, and free cash flow of $19.1M (-11.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, CIX closed FY2025 with $156.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $158.3M $19.5M $22.9M $19.1M $156.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $145.9M $16.6M $22.9M $21.5M $163.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $161.3M $22.6M $25.8M $25.8M — —

3. CIX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CIX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, CompX International Inc. (NYSE: CIX) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $35.68 (-0.75% 1D, market cap $440.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CIX ranks #288 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CIX compare to ACU and KODK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CIX carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.6x, gross margin of 30.4%, and ROIC of 21.1%. By comparison, ACU (Acme United Corporation.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 25.6x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $261.1M) and KODK (Eastman Kodak Company Common) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.0%, cap $913.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CIX leads on earnings multiple (22.6x) while CIX leads on capital efficiency (21.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CIX?

Per CIX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001049606), CompX International Inc. generated $158.3M in revenue (+8.5% YoY), $19.5M in net income, and $19.1M in free cash flow against $156.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CIX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CIX last traded at $35.68 (-0.75% on volume of 9,657 shares), positioning the stock -1.46% below its 50-day simple moving average ($36.21) and +28.62% above its 200-day simple moving average ($27.74). Across its 52-week range of $20.29 to $40.30, CIX sits at the 76.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($32.47 to $38.89).

CIX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CIX's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for CIX.

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