Stock Ratings / Financials / CHCI / financials

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Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (CHCI) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$18.68 +2.75% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.74

Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (CHCI) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $192.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CHCI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CHCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CHCI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $18.68 (+2.75% 1D, market cap $192.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CHCI ranks #356 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CHCI compare to AOMR and CMTG in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), CHCI carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 24.4%. By comparison, AOMR (Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 3.8x, ROIC 16.5%, cap $169.0M) and CMTG (Claros Mortgage Trust Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.9%, cap $166.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AOMR leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while DOUG leads on capital efficiency (52.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHCI?

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Per CHCI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001299969), Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) generated $62.9M in revenue (+22.6% YoY), $17.1M in net income, and $4.8M in free cash flow against $85.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.74 (+0.30%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 7.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CHCI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CHCI SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 72% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$18.71-10.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$16.81+3.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$17.41+7.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C$18.68+0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CHCI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, CHCI faces multiple-compression risk if 11.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($19.08) or 200D SMA ($16.01) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($19.10) toward Bear Floor ($14.90).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CHCI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CHCI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How CHCI Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$4.8M (7.6% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $44.7M

FY24

Rev $51.3M

FY25

Rev $62.9M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$62.9M	52%	19%	$17.1M	$4.8M	24.4%
FY 2024	$51.3M	52%	20.1%	$14.6M	$10.7M	34.4%
FY 2023	$44.7M	52%	20.5%	$7.8M	$9.0M	24.4%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CHCI)

✓Walkthrough of CHCI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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CHCI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.75%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $18.40H $18.74L $17.95C $18.68VOL 17.7K

RES: $23.93SUP: $17.15SMA50: $19.08SMA200: $16.01

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CHCI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CHCI Butterfly Map → + Track CHCI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

1.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CHCI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CHCI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CHCI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CHCI)

Financials Rank #356 of 1096 ⚔️ AOMR vs CHCI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CHCI vs. AOMR, CMTG, DOUG, MLP)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (CHCI) ranks #356 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #890 by equity capitalization ($192.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AOMR leads on earnings valuation at 3.8x trailing P/E, while DOUG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 52.5% ROIC and — gross margin. CHCI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CHCI ACTIVE Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A)	C	63/100	11.3x	—	24.4%	+2.75%	$192.1M	Benchmark Subject
AOMR Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc.	D	46/100	3.8x	—	16.5%	+0.69%	$169.0M	/aomr-vs-chci →
CMTG Claros Mortgage Trust Inc.	E	34/100	—	—	-31.9%	0.00%	$166.5M	/cmtg-vs-chci →
DOUG Douglas Elliman Inc.	D	48/100	9.6x	—	52.5%	+2.56%	$145.4M	/doug-vs-chci →
MLP Maui Land & Pineapple Company Inc.	D-	36/100	—	—	-12.9%	+0.56%	$285.8M	/mlp-vs-chci →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001299969

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Comstock Holding Companies Inc. (Class A) (CHCI) reported GAAP revenue of $62.9M (+22.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $51.3M , and +40.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $17.1M, operating cash flow of $4.8M, and free cash flow of $4.8M (-55.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, CHCI closed FY2025 with $85.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$62.9M	$17.1M	$4.8M	$4.8M	$85.0M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$51.3M	$14.6M	$10.7M	$10.7M	$64.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$44.7M	$7.8M	$9.0M	$9.0M	—	—

3. CHCI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CHCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CHCI compare to AOMR and CMTG in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHCI?

Where is CHCI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CHCI last traded at $18.68 (+2.75% on volume of 20,438 shares), positioning the stock -2.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.08) and +16.68% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.01). Across its 52-week range of $10.14 to $22.07, CHCI sits at the 71.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($17.00 to $20.36).