Why CGTX Stock dropped -5.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$0.70 -5.57% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.69

Cognition Therapeutics Inc. (CGTX) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $70.3M
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As of 2026-11-02, Cognition Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: CGTX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $0.70 (-5.57% 1D, market cap $70.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, CGTX ranks #464 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CGTX compare to GRML and CRDF in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), CGTX carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GRML (Greenland Mines Ltd.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $70.3M) and CRDF (Cardiff Oncology Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $70.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CGTX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CSBR leads on capital efficiency (-26.9% ROIC).

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🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CGTX?
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Per CGTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001455365), Cognition Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$23.5M in net income, and -$24.6M in free cash flow against $48.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.69 (-1.19%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
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📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510043
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (12)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.1% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE CGTX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CGTX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CGTX SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$0.88-17% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$0.73-1.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$0.72-2.8% Next Q
Current
43
Grade D-$0.70-6.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CGTX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CGTX currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.91) and Max Pain ($0.74) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.92.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CGTX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CGTX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why CGTX Stock dropped -5.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Cognition Therapeutics Inc. (CGTX) dropped -5.57% to $0.70, trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($0.55 – $1.83). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($0.55 – $1.83) with RSI-14 at 33 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.70 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live CGTX Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CGTX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CGTX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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CGTX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -44.44%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $0.72H $0.72L $0.64C $0.70VOL 557.5K
RES: $1.01SUP: $0.64SMA50: $0.91SMA200: $1.07
$1.84$1.51$1.19$0.86$0.54RES $1.01SUP $0.64$0.702026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CGTX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CGTX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CGTX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CGTX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CGTX)

Health Care Rank #464 of 1016 ⚔️ GRML vs CGTX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (CGTX vs. GRML, CRDF, NMRA, CSBR)

Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cognition Therapeutics Inc. (CGTX) ranks #464 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #707 by equity capitalization ($70.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CGTX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CSBR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -26.9% ROIC and 48.0% gross margin. CGTX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CGTX ACTIVE
Cognition Therapeutics Inc.
D- 43/100 — — -35.0% -5.57% $70.3M Benchmark Subject
GRML
Greenland Mines Ltd.
E 32/100 — — -35.0% -10.89% $70.3M /grml-vs-cgtx →
CRDF
Cardiff Oncology Inc.
D- 41/100 — — -35.0% -2.46% $70.9M /crdf-vs-cgtx →
NMRA
Neumora Therapeutics Inc.
D- 42/100 — — -35.0% -5.43% $73.0M /nmra-vs-cgtx →
CSBR
Champions Oncology Inc.
E 22/100 — 48.0% -26.9% 0.00% $66.9M /csbr-vs-cgtx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001455365

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cognition Therapeutics Inc. (CGTX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$23.5M, operating cash flow of -$24.6M, and free cash flow of -$24.6M (+13.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, CGTX closed FY2025 with $48.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$23.5M -$24.6M -$24.6M $48.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$34.0M -$28.5M -$28.5M $30.2M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$25.8M -$16.0M -$16.0M — —

3. CGTX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CGTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Cognition Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: CGTX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $0.70 (-5.57% 1D, market cap $70.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, CGTX ranks #464 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CGTX compare to GRML and CRDF in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), CGTX carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GRML (Greenland Mines Ltd.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $70.3M) and CRDF (Cardiff Oncology Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $70.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CGTX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CSBR leads on capital efficiency (-26.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CGTX?

Per CGTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001455365), Cognition Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$23.5M in net income, and -$24.6M in free cash flow against $48.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CGTX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CGTX last traded at $0.70 (-5.57% on volume of 557,812 shares), positioning the stock -23.08% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.91) and -34.58% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.07). Across its 52-week range of $0.55 to $1.83, CGTX sits at the 11.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.79).

CGTX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is CGTX stock moving today?

Why CGTX Stock dropped -5.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 43/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CGTX — Cognition Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:45:41Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CGTX scores 43 out of 100, a letter grade of D-, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 6 out of 20, reflecting ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of 0%, which signals that the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash. The whale and 13F flow pillar scores 12 out of 20, labeled as institutional accumulation and options positioning, the strongest of the five pillars but still below midpoint. The insider conviction pillar scores 5 out of 20, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The macro regime fit pillar scores 10 out of 20, with a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 10 out of 20, referencing an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 2 out of 9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the pattern is that the rating's weakest inputs are the cash-generation and insider-conviction pillars, meaning the thesis rests more on sentiment, catalysts, and balance-sheet runway than on current operating earnings. Upside drivers would need to come from the regulatory and clinical catalysts described in the news wire, while the valuation tradeoff is that a $70.3M market capitalization is being assigned against operating losses of $-47.8M in FY 2025.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-47.8M$-23.5MN/A$-24.6M$36.8MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-54.0M$-34.0MN/A$-28.5M$25.0MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-50.7M$-25.8MN/A$-16.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, the company reported no revenue and operating losses in each period, with gross, operating, and net margins all shown as 0% in the market data. ROIC is -35% per the market data. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2 out of 9, both per the Roarable RQD rating's forensic balance sheet pillar. The Debt/Equity ratio is 0.5 per the same source, while the debt line in the financials is reported as N/A. Cash increased from $25.0M in FY 2024 to $36.8M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, the most prominent catalyst is the company's alignment with the FDA on a planned Phase 3 trial of zervimesine (CT1812) in dementia with Lewy bodies, reported across multiple outlets. A second headline notes an FDA meeting ahead of which H.C. Wainwright reiterated its rating on the stock. Another item references a drug patent running to 2045 with FDA approval potentially allowing up to five more years of exclusivity. A GlobeNewswire item titled around an "Issuance of Composition" is listed without further detail in the source. Every news item is tagged with a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label, and the source does not provide a risk-watch list or additional proprietary signals beyond these headlines. The Butterfly supply-chain graph lists no supply chain and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's revenue model and product pipeline, given reported revenue of $0.0M in each period?
  • What is the outcome and timing of the FDA meeting referenced in the news wire, and how does it affect the planned Phase 3 trial?
  • What is the debt position, given the financials report debt as N/A while the rating cites a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5?
  • What are the specific insider Form 4 and Congressional PTR transactions behind the insider conviction score of 5 out of 20?
  • How long does the reported cash balance of $36.8M fund operating losses at the FY 2025 level of $-47.8M?

CGTX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cognition Therapeutics Inc. (CGTX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CGTX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CGTX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.70?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CGTX 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CGTX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.62 (-11.4%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CGTX (D- • RQD 43/100) a Buy at $0.70?

Welcome to the CGTX (Cognition Therapeutics Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 43/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances). Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.54 (-22.9%)
Spot @ $0.70

Pump the brakes on CGTX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CGTX, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Cognition Therapeutics Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.81 (+15.7%)
Spot @ $0.70

CGTX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CGTX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.70 (52-wk range $0.55 - $1.83), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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