Cemtrex Inc. (CETX) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.78 +0.56% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.78

Cemtrex Inc. (CETX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $3.2M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.78 (-0.09%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510044
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D+
Cash (6)Whales (11)SEC (8)Macro (14)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.2% Base Target
$102 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CETX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CETX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CETX SCORES 44/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (32% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 2% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 17.7 (OVERSOLD (<32))

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$2.05-16.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$1.72+0.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$1.73+2.9% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$1.78-6.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (52) β†’ D (44)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CETX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While CETX currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.14) and Max Pain ($1.87) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $101.85.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CETXβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCETX Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CETX)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CETX.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CETX)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CETX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CETX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -84.25%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $1.63H $1.78L $1.23C $1.78VOL 1.35M
RES: $2.30SUP: $0.42SMA50: $2.14SMA200: $6.77
$64.96$47.69$30.41$13.14$-4.13RES $2.30SUP $0.42$1.782026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CETX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CETX today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CETX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CETX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CETX)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CETX vs. LNKS, KTCC, ELTK, KULR)

Industry: Electrical Products (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cemtrex Inc. (CETX) ranks #500 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #689 by equity capitalization ($3.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ELTK leads on earnings valuation at 48.9x trailing P/E, while ELTK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and 15.4% gross margin. LNKS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with CETX at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CETX ACTIVE
Cemtrex Inc.
D 44/100 β€” 42.2% 2.4% +0.56% $3.2M Benchmark Subject
LNKS
Linkers Industries Limited (Class A)
D+ 57/100 β€” β€” β€” -0.75% $1.1M /lnks-vs-cetx β†’
KTCC
Key Tronic Corporation
D- 38/100 β€” 6.2% -5.9% +0.94% $23.9M /ktcc-vs-cetx β†’
ELTK
Eltek Ltd.
D- 39/100 48.9x 15.4% 4.2% -4.90% $40.4M /eltk-vs-cetx β†’
KULR
KULR Technology Group Inc.
D- 42/100 β€” 4.8% -31.4% +1.18% $79.1M /kulr-vs-cetx β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-09-30 β€’ CIK 0001435064

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Cemtrex Inc. (CETX) reported GAAP revenue of $76.5M (+14.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $66.9M , and +28.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$28.1M, operating cash flow of $159.3K, and free cash flow of -$1.8M (+66.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CETX closed FY2025 with $60.3M in total assets against $8.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $76.5M -$28.1M $159.3K -$1.8M $60.3M $8.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $66.9M -$7.2M -$3.9M -$5.2M $46.7M $11.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $59.4M -$1.5M -$2.2M -$2.2M β€” β€”

3. CETX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CETX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Cemtrex Inc. (NASDAQ: CETX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $1.78 (+0.56% 1D, market cap $3.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CETX ranks #500 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CETX compare to LNKS and KTCC in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Electrical Products), CETX carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 42.2%, and ROIC of 2.4%. By comparison, LNKS (Linkers Industries Limited (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $1.1M) and KTCC (Key Tronic Corporation) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.9%, cap $23.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ELTK leads on earnings multiple (48.9x) while ELTK leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CETX?

Per CETX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001435064), Cemtrex Inc. generated $76.5M in revenue (+14.4% YoY), -$28.1M in net income, and -$1.8M in free cash flow against $60.3M in total assets and $8.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CETX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CETX last traded at $1.78 (+0.56% on volume of 38,432,400 shares), positioning the stock -16.82% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.14) and -73.71% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.77). Across its 52-week range of $1.23 to $97.00, CETX sits at the 0.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 17.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.56 to $2.00).

CETX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is CETX's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for CETX.

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