Gogo (GOGO) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Why CCOI Stock advanced +1.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. (CCOI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 35.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CCOI Turnaround Squeeze
While CCOI currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.65) and Max Pain ($8.15) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $43.10.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why CCOI Stock advanced +1.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. (CCOI) advanced +1.57% to $7.76, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($6.61 – $41.05). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($6.61 – $41.05) with RSI-14 at 35.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $7.76 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Cogent (CCOI) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Wireless National stocks have gained 52.3% despite macroeconomic headwinds, as T-Mobile, Array Digital and Cogent offer growth opportunities.
Investing.com -- Moody’s Ratings downgraded Cogent Communications Holdings Inc's (NASDAQ:CCOI) Corporate Family Rating by three notches to Caa2 from B2 on Wednesday, citing deteriorating liquidity and mounting refinancin
TMUS, AD, and CCOI are likely to ride long-term gains from 5G momentum and rising demand for wireless connectivity despite near-term headwinds.
The average of price targets set by Wall Street analysts indicates a potential upside of 119.8% in Cogent (CCOI). While the effectiveness of this highly sought-after metric is questionable, the positive trend in earnings
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CCOI)
- ✓Walkthrough of CCOI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
CCOI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CCOI today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CCOI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CCOI)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CCOI vs. SPIR, GOGO, NSTR, SAIQ)
Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. (CCOI) ranks #663 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #615 by equity capitalization ($397.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPIR leads on earnings valuation at 7.7x trailing P/E, while GOGO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.1% ROIC and — gross margin. GOGO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with CCOI at 49/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCOI
ACTIVE
Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. | D | 49/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +1.57% | $397.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| SPIR Spire Global Inc. (Class A) | E | 23/100 | 7.7x | — | -35.0% | +0.31% | $393.2M | /spir-vs-ccoi → |
| GOGO Gogo Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 26.5x | — | 11.1% | +4.55% | $342.8M | /gogo-vs-ccoi → |
| NSTR NorthStar Earth & Space Enterprises Inc. | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | -8.19% | $208.5M | /nstr-vs-ccoi → |
| SAIQ WISeSat.Space Holdings Corp. | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | — | -3.22% | $188.1M | /saiq-vs-ccoi → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001158324In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. (CCOI) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$182.2M, operating cash flow of -$10.6M, and free cash flow of -$198.1M (+2.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, CCOI closed FY2025 with $3.10B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$182.2M | -$10.6M | -$198.1M | $3.10B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$204.1M | -$8.6M | -$203.6M | $3.17B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $1.27B | $17.3M | $17.3M | — | — |
3. CCOI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CCOI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: CCOI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $7.76 (+1.57% 1D, market cap $397.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CCOI ranks #663 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CCOI compare to SPIR and GOGO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), CCOI carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SPIR (Spire Global Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E 7.7x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $393.2M) and GOGO (Gogo Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 26.5x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $342.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPIR leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while GOGO leads on capital efficiency (11.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CCOI?
Per CCOI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001158324), Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$182.2M in net income, and -$198.1M in free cash flow against $3.10B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CCOI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CCOI last traded at $7.76 (+1.57% on volume of 1,462,503 shares), positioning the stock -10.29% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.65) and -50.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.77). Across its 52-week range of $6.61 to $41.05, CCOI sits at the 3.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.79 to $8.73).
CCOI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CCOI stock moving today?
Why CCOI Stock advanced +1.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.