MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why CBUS Stock dropped -4.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.35 -4.25% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.34
Cibus Inc. (Class A) (CBUS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $103.2M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.34 (-0.96%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CBUS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CBUS SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (47% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 8% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 35.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+7/20 pts (22% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$1.55-14.8% Next Q
40
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$1.32+6.8% Next Q
37
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$1.41-4.3% Next Q
35
CurrentGrade E$1.35-9.2% Hist 90D α
32
Trajectory: D (40) → E (32)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CBUS Turnaround Squeeze
While CBUS currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.53) and Max Pain ($1.42) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.40.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CBUS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CBUS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CBUS Stock dropped -4.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Cibus Inc. (Class A) (CBUS) dropped -4.25% to $1.35, trading at 8% of its 52-week range ($1.09 – $4.19). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 8% of its 52-week range ($1.09 – $4.19) with RSI-14 at 35.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.35 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live CBUS Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 5h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CBUS)
- ✓Walkthrough of CBUS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CBUS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.57%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $1.36H $1.39L $1.27C $1.35VOL 53.0K
RES: $1.61SUP: $1.19SMA50: $1.53SMA200: $1.85
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CBUS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -14.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CBUS today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CBUS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CBUS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CBUS)
Materials Rank #255 of 270
⚔️ AVD vs CBUS Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (CBUS vs. AVD, FRTT, EVGN, SNES)
Industry: Agricultural Chemicals (11 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cibus Inc. (Class A) (CBUS) ranks #255 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #229 by equity capitalization ($103.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CBUS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AVD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -6.1% ROIC and 28.6% gross margin. EVGN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with CBUS at 32/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBUS
ACTIVE
Cibus Inc. (Class A) | E | 32/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -4.25% | $103.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| AVD American Vanguard Corporation ($0.10 Par Value) | D- | 35/100 | — | 28.6% | -6.1% | -3.51% | $32.5M | /avd-vs-cbus → |
| FRTT Fort Technology Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | — | -3.14% | $8.1M | /frtt-vs-cbus → |
| EVGN Evogene Ltd | C- | 59/100 | — | — | — | +1.60% | $6.0M | /evgn-vs-cbus → |
| SNES SenesTech Inc. | D | 45/100 | — | 62.5% | -35.0% | +4.12% | $5.5M | /snes-vs-cbus → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001705843In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cibus Inc. (Class A) (CBUS) reported GAAP revenue of $3.6M (-14.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.3M , and +100.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$127.1M, operating cash flow of -$50.6M, and free cash flow of -$51.2M (+13.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, CBUS closed FY2025 with $305.0M in total assets against $93.0K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $3.6M | -$127.1M | -$50.6M | -$51.2M | $305.0M | $93.0K |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $4.3M | -$251.4M | -$58.0M | -$58.9M | $350.1M | $226.0K |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.8M | -$267.6M | -$46.2M | -$46.2M | — | — |
3. CBUS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CBUS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Cibus Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CBUS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $1.35 (-4.25% 1D, market cap $103.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CBUS ranks #255 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CBUS compare to AVD and FRTT in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Agricultural Chemicals), CBUS carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AVD (American Vanguard Corporation ($0.10 Par Value)) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.1%, cap $32.5M) and FRTT (Fort Technology Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $8.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CBUS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AVD leads on capital efficiency (-6.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBUS?
Per CBUS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001705843), Cibus Inc. (Class A) generated $3.6M in revenue (-14.6% YoY), -$127.1M in net income, and -$51.2M in free cash flow against $305.0M in total assets and $93.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CBUS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CBUS last traded at $1.35 (-4.25% on volume of 52,162 shares), positioning the stock -11.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.53) and -27.03% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.85). Across its 52-week range of $1.09 to $4.19, CBUS sits at the 8.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.18 to $1.52).
CBUS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CBUS stock moving today?
Why CBUS Stock dropped -4.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.