Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CASY / financials

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Casey's General Stores Inc. (CASY) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$677.74 +1.15% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Casey's General Stores Inc. (CASY) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $25.05B

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CASY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.5%

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How CASY Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$721.6M (4.1% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $14.86B

FY24

Rev $15.94B

FY25

Rev $17.56B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$17.56B	52%	4.8%	$714.4M	$721.6M	11.6%
FY 2024	$15.94B	52%	4%	$546.5M	$584.6M	9.3%
FY 2023	$14.86B	52%	4%	$502.0M	$224.1M	4.3%

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CASY)

✓Walkthrough of CASY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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CASY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.51%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-01O $670.0H $677.7L $670.0C $677.7VOL 433.9K

RES: $830.6SUP: $516.9SMA50: $669.5SMA200: $742.3

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CASY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CASY Butterfly Map → + Track CASY →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

27.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CASY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CASY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CASY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CASY)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #132 of 304 ⚔️ CPRT vs CASY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CASY vs. CPRT, PAG, MUSA, CVNA)

Industry: Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Casey's General Stores Inc. (CASY) ranks #132 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #80 by equity capitalization ($25.05B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PAG leads on earnings valuation at 14.9x trailing P/E, while CVNA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.6% ROIC and 20.6% gross margin. MUSA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with CASY at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CASY ACTIVE Casey's General Stores Inc.	C+	66/100	35.1x	—	12.0%	+1.15%	$25.05B	Benchmark Subject
CPRT Copart Inc.	B-	70/100	17.6x	—	15.1%	+2.04%	$27.37B	/cprt-vs-casy →
PAG Penske Automotive Group Inc.	D+	58/100	14.9x	16.4%	13.8%	+0.18%	$13.94B	/pag-vs-casy →
MUSA Murphy USA Inc.	B+	76/100	21.1x	—	24.5%	+4.80%	$9.93B	/musa-vs-casy →
CVNA Carvana Co.	D+	58/100	53.6x	20.6%	24.6%	+15.68%	$75.36B	/cvna-vs-casy →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-04-30 • CIK 0000726958

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30), Casey's General Stores Inc. (CASY) reported GAAP revenue of $17.56B (+10.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $15.94B , and +18.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $714.4M, operating cash flow of $1.38B, and free cash flow of $721.6M (+23.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, CASY closed FY2025 with $8.59B in total assets against $2.33B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.19, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-04-30	$17.56B	$714.4M	$1.38B	$721.6M	$8.59B	$2.33B
FY2024 (FY)	2025-04-30	$15.94B	$546.5M	$1.09B	$584.6M	$8.22B	$2.44B
FY2023 (FY)	2024-04-30	$14.86B	$502.0M	$893.0M	$224.1M	$17.84B	$4.17B

3. CASY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CASY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Casey's General Stores Inc. (NASDAQ: CASY) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $677.74 (+1.15% 1D, market cap $25.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CASY ranks #132 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CASY compare to CPRT and PAG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations), CASY carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, CPRT (Copart Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 17.6x, ROIC 15.1%, cap $27.37B) and PAG (Penske Automotive Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 14.9x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $13.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PAG leads on earnings multiple (14.9x) while CVNA leads on capital efficiency (24.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CASY?

Per CASY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0000726958), Casey's General Stores Inc. generated $17.56B in revenue (+10.2% YoY), $714.4M in net income, and $721.6M in free cash flow against $8.59B in total assets and $2.33B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CASY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CASY last traded at $677.74 (+1.15% on volume of 433,932 shares), positioning the stock +1.23% above its 50-day simple moving average ($669.49) and -8.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($742.28). Across its 52-week range of $497.38 to $927.85, CASY sits at the 41.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.5% ($640.46 to $715.02).