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CarGurus Inc. (Class A) (CARG) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$32.50 +3.77% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.80

CarGurus Inc. (Class A) (CARG) earns a Roarable Rating of A (Strong Buy) with 90/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (93% profit margin, 85% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 90/100 (A) historically ranked in the Top 4% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 74.5% hit rate) →

ROARABLE A • STRONG BUY Cap $2.89B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.80 (+0.92%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 20/20 (A+) • 31.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 90/100 (A) historically ranked in the Top 4% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 74.5% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSTRONG BUY • A

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A · Rk A

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+14.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CARG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (90/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CARG SCORES 90/100 (A) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+20/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 31.9% FCF Margin ($288.9M FCF) & 92.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning15/20 pts (-5 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-5 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A$28.85+5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade A$30.28+4.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade A$31.52+3.1% Next Q

Current

Grade A$32.50+9.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A (82) → A (90)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CARG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 90/100 (A) score, CARG faces multiple-compression risk if 18.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 90.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($32.35) or 200D SMA ($32.86) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($37.18) toward Bear Floor ($26.65).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CARG• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CARG Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 89%NO 11%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

CARG Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (CARG)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on CARG. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CARG Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CARG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.86%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $32.55H $32.99L $31.89C $32.50VOL 1.38M

RES: $44.00SUP: $26.49SMA50: $32.35SMA200: $32.86

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CARG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CARG Butterfly Map → + Track CARG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

11.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CARG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CARG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CARG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CARG)

Technology Rank #1 of 714 ⚔️ NTCT vs CARG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CARG vs. NTCT, FIVN, KD, LFTO)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CarGurus Inc. (Class A) (CARG) ranks #1 by composite RQD confidence (90/100, grade A) and #257 by equity capitalization ($2.89B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CARG leads on earnings valuation at 18.6x trailing P/E, while CARG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 92.8% gross margin. CARG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 90/100 (A).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CARG ACTIVE CarGurus Inc. (Class A)	A	90/100	18.6x	92.8%	85.0%	+3.77%	$2.89B	Benchmark Subject
NTCT NetScout Systems Inc.	C	64/100	30.0x	79.4%	7.9%	-0.45%	$2.86B	/ntct-vs-carg →
FIVN Five9 Inc.	C-	59/100	70.9x	55.1%	4.1%	-0.58%	$2.80B	/fivn-vs-carg →
KD Kyndryl Holdings Inc.	D	51/100	—	21.8%	—	-1.06%	$3.04B	/kd-vs-carg →
LFTO Liftoff Mobile Inc.	D+	57/100	—	—	—	-0.87%	$2.71B	/lfto-vs-carg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001494259

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CarGurus Inc. (Class A) (CARG) reported GAAP revenue of $907.0M (+13.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $798.0M , and +29.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $155.9M, operating cash flow of $295.3M, and free cash flow of $288.9M (+60.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CARG closed FY2025 with $661.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 9.72, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$907.0M	$155.9M	$295.3M	$288.9M	$661.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$798.0M	$21.0M	$255.5M	$180.3M	$824.5M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$698.4M	$22.1M	$124.5M	$124.5M	—	—

3. CARG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CARG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, CarGurus Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CARG) is rated A (Strong Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 90/100 at a spot price of $32.50 (+3.77% 1D, market cap $2.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CARG ranks #1 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CARG compare to NTCT and FIVN in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), CARG carries a Roarable A (90/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.6x, gross margin of 92.8%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, NTCT (NetScout Systems Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 30.0x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $2.86B) and FIVN (Five9 Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 70.9x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $2.80B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CARG leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while CARG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CARG?

Per CARG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001494259), CarGurus Inc. (Class A) generated $907.0M in revenue (+13.7% YoY), $155.9M in net income, and $288.9M in free cash flow against $661.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (93% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CARG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CARG last traded at $32.50 (+3.77% on volume of 1,169,166 shares), positioning the stock +0.46% above its 50-day simple moving average ($32.35) and -1.10% below its 200-day simple moving average ($32.86). Across its 52-week range of $26.39 to $41.22, CARG sits at the 41.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($29.71 to $35.29).

CARG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are CARG insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies CARG leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Direct Sub-Reports: CARG RQD Cockpit CARG 12M Forecast CARG Earnings & Move CARG Dividends & DRIP CARG Insiders & 13F CARG Whale Options CARG Profit Sankey CARG News & Why