CalciMedica Inc. (CALC) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1.75 +5.42% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.76

CalciMedica Inc. (CALC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $11.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.76 (+0.79%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (8)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (13)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.1% Base Target
$38 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE CALC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CALC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CALC SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 49.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$1.27-18.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$1.04+18.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$1.23+42.3% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$1.75-5.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (39) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CALC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CALC currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.76) and Max Pain ($1.84) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $37.80.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CALC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CALC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

CALC Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (CALC)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on CALC. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CALC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CALC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CALC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -40.68%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $1.79H $1.84L $1.44C $1.75VOL 105.1K
RES: $3.82SUP: $0.81SMA50: $1.76SMA200: $4.03
$14.72$11.00$7.28$3.56$-0.15RES $3.82SUP $0.81$1.752026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CALC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CALC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CALC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CALC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CALC)

Health Care Rank #424 of 1016 ⚔️ BIVI vs CALC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (CALC vs. BIVI, ASBP, BOLT, HIND)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CalciMedica Inc. (CALC) ranks #424 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #880 by equity capitalization ($11.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CALC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CALC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CALC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CALC ACTIVE
CalciMedica Inc.
D 47/100 — — -35.0% +5.42% $11.9M Benchmark Subject
BIVI
BioVie Inc. (Class A)
E 33/100 — — -35.0% -5.48% $12.0M /bivi-vs-calc →
ASBP
Aspire-Lakewood Holdings Inc.
E 33/100 — -1.9% -35.0% -4.50% $11.9M /asbp-vs-calc →
BOLT
Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc.
E 28/100 — — -35.0% -3.34% $12.3M /bolt-vs-calc →
HIND
Vyome Holdings Inc.
D- 35/100 — 68.4% -35.0% +1.74% $12.3M /hind-vs-calc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001534133

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CalciMedica Inc. (CALC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$29.6M, operating cash flow of -$21.2M, and free cash flow of -$21.2M (-0.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CALC closed FY2025 with $13.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$29.6M -$21.2M -$21.2M $13.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$13.7M -$21.1M -$21.2M $19.8M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$34.4M -$25.7M -$25.7M — —

3. CALC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CALC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, CalciMedica Inc. (NASDAQ: CALC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $1.75 (+5.42% 1D, market cap $11.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, CALC ranks #424 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CALC compare to BIVI and ASBP in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), CALC carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BIVI (BioVie Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $12.0M) and ASBP (Aspire-Lakewood Holdings Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $11.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CALC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CALC leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CALC?

Per CALC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001534133), CalciMedica Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$29.6M in net income, and -$21.2M in free cash flow against $13.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CALC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CALC last traded at $1.75 (+5.42% on volume of 107,464 shares), positioning the stock -0.57% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.76) and -56.58% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.03). Across its 52-week range of $1.00 to $36.00, CALC sits at the 2.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.53 to $1.97).

CALC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are CALC insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies CALC leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

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