Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BXC / forecast

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Bluelinx Holdings Inc. (BXC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$78.26 +4.47% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.74

Bluelinx Holdings Inc. (BXC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $615.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.74 (+0.61%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 1.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BXC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BXC SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.44 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 68% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 57.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$70.76+4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$73.62+4.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$76.75+2% Next Q

Current

Grade C$78.26+1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BXC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, BXC faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($76.54) or 200D SMA ($64.81) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($80.37) toward Bear Floor ($62.69).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BXC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BXC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 2, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your BXC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $78.26: 127.8 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $62.69

$8,010

$-1,990 (-19.9%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $80.37

$10,270

+$270 (+2.7%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $98.49

$12,585

+$2,585 (+25.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$84	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$93	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$72	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BXC Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BXC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +47.77%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $77.72H $79.84L $77.52C $78.26VOL 116.3K

RES: $78.88SUP: $73.05SMA50: $76.54SMA200: $64.81

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BXC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BXC Butterfly Map → + Track BXC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

2.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. 0.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BXC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BXC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BXC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BXC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #305 of 1011 ⚔️ ADIG vs BXC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BXC vs. ADIG, REZI, LMB, GMRS)

Industry: Wholesale Distributors (3 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bluelinx Holdings Inc. (BXC) ranks #305 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #567 by equity capitalization ($615.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LMB leads on earnings valuation at 15.7x trailing P/E, while LMB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.2% ROIC and 26.2% gross margin. LMB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with BXC at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BXC ACTIVE Bluelinx Holdings Inc.	C	64/100	—	15.3%	4.9%	+4.47%	$615.1M	Benchmark Subject
ADIG ADI Global Distribution Inc.	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+2.19%	$1.34B	/adig-vs-bxc →
REZI Resideo Technologies Inc.	D	45/100	—	29.4%	8.8%	+2.68%	$2.85B	/rezi-vs-bxc →
LMB Limbach Holdings Inc.	A-	83/100	15.7x	26.2%	21.2%	+1.48%	$613.8M	/lmb-vs-bxc →
GMRS GMR Solutions Inc. (Class A)	D+	56/100	—	—	—	+4.58%	$616.9M	/gmrs-vs-bxc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-03 • CIK 0001301787

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), Bluelinx Holdings Inc. (BXC) reported GAAP revenue of $2.95B (+0.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.95B , and -5.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $219.0K, operating cash flow of $59.8M, and free cash flow of $32.9M (-27.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, BXC closed FY2025 with $1.55B in total assets against $296.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.44, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-03	$2.95B	$219.0K	$59.8M	$32.9M	$1.55B	$296.7M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-28	$2.95B	$53.1M	$85.2M	$45.1M	$1.58B	$295.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-30	$3.14B	$48.5M	$306.3M	$306.3M	—	—

3. BXC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BXC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Bluelinx Holdings Inc. (NYSE: BXC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $78.26 (+4.47% 1D, market cap $615.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BXC ranks #305 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BXC compare to ADIG and REZI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Wholesale Distributors), BXC carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.3%, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, ADIG (ADI Global Distribution Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.34B) and REZI (Resideo Technologies Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.8%, cap $2.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LMB leads on earnings multiple (15.7x) while LMB leads on capital efficiency (21.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BXC?

Per BXC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001301787), Bluelinx Holdings Inc. generated $2.95B in revenue (+0.0% YoY), $219.0K in net income, and $32.9M in free cash flow against $1.55B in total assets and $296.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BXC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BXC last traded at $78.26 (+4.47% on volume of 125,198 shares), positioning the stock +2.25% above its 50-day simple moving average ($76.54) and +20.75% above its 200-day simple moving average ($64.81). Across its 52-week range of $44.78 to $93.80, BXC sits at the 68.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($71.53 to $84.99).

BXC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BXC's 12-month stock price target?

Bluelinx Holdings Inc. (BXC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $80.37 (+2.7% from $78.26), with a bull-case target of $98.49 and a bear-case floor of $62.69.

Is BXC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates BXC C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 64/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: BXC RQD Cockpit BXC 12M Forecast BXC Earnings & Move BXC Dividends & DRIP BXC Insiders & 13F BXC Whale Options BXC Profit Sankey BXC News & Why