Betterware de Mexico S.A.P.I. de C.V. (BWMX) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$17.09 +2.70% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.14

Betterware de Mexico S.A.P.I. de C.V. (BWMX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $674.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.14 (+0.30%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510058
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (11)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$21 Bull$17 Base$13 Bear
📬 FREE BWMX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BWMX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BWMX SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 58% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$16.46-2.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$16.10-3.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$15.59+9.6% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$17.09+0% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BWMX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, BWMX faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($16.22) or 200D SMA ($17.23) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.09) toward Bear Floor ($13.33).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BWMX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BWMX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±6.8%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BWMX)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for BWMX.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BWMX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BWMX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BWMX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.47%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $17.10H $17.10L $16.64C $17.09VOL 65.6K
RES: $17.38SUP: $15.57SMA50: $16.22SMA200: $17.23
$19.58$18.36$17.14$15.92$14.70RES $17.38SUP $15.57$17.092026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BWMX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BWMX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BWMX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BWMX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BWMX)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #450 of 1011 ⚔️ JMIA vs BWMX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BWMX vs. JMIA, HNST, DDL, HEPS)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Betterware de Mexico S.A.P.I. de C.V. (BWMX) ranks #450 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #559 by equity capitalization ($674.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DDL leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while DDL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 65.3% ROIC and — gross margin. DDL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with BWMX at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BWMX ACTIVE
Betterware de Mexico S.A.P.I. de C.V.
D+ 58/100 — — — +2.70% $674.8M Benchmark Subject
JMIA
Jumia Technologies AG each representing two
D+ 58/100 — — — -1.23% $749.6M /jmia-vs-bwmx →
HNST
The Honest Company Inc.
D+ 56/100 — 33.3% -18.2% +0.44% $492.4M /hnst-vs-bwmx →
DDL
Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three )
C+ 66/100 13.8x — 65.3% -0.51% $455.9M /ddl-vs-bwmx →
HEPS
D-Market Electronic Services & Trading
D 51/100 — — — +0.36% $1.20B /heps-vs-bwmx →

2. BWMX Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Betterware de Mexico S.A.P.I. de C.V. (BWMX) operates in Catalog/Specialty Distribution (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $674.8M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. BWMX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BWMX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Betterware de Mexico S.A.P.I. de C.V. (NYSE: BWMX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $17.09 (+2.70% 1D, market cap $674.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BWMX ranks #450 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BWMX compare to JMIA and HNST in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), BWMX carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, JMIA (Jumia Technologies AG each representing two) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $749.6M) and HNST (The Honest Company Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.2%, cap $492.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DDL leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while DDL leads on capital efficiency (65.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BWMX?

For Betterware de Mexico S.A.P.I. de C.V. (BWMX), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #450 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BWMX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BWMX last traded at $17.09 (+2.70% on volume of 113,145 shares), positioning the stock +5.36% above its 50-day simple moving average ($16.22) and -0.81% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.23). Across its 52-week range of $13.41 to $19.79, BWMX sits at the 57.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($15.93 to $18.25).

BWMX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BWMX's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for BWMX.

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