MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why BV Stock surged +6.72% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$11.59 +6.72% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.71
BrightView Holdings Inc. (BV) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $1.07B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.71 (+1.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 1.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BV SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 34% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 71.2 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (23% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.2% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 5% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$10.67-1.2% Next Q
52
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$10.54+0.5% Next Q
55
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$10.59+9.4% Next Q
57
CurrentGrade C-$11.59+0.4% Hist 90D α
60
Trajectory: C- (52) → C- (60)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BV Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, BV faces multiple-compression risk if 19.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 20.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($10.77) or 200D SMA ($12.32) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.69) toward Bear Floor ($9.12).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why BV Stock surged +6.72% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
BrightView Holdings Inc. (BV) surged +6.72% to $11.59, trading at 34% of its 52-week range ($9.82 – $15). Solid 23% profit margin (5% return on capital), mixed timing at 19x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 34% of its 52-week range ($9.82 – $15) with RSI-14 at 71.2 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.2% around $11.59 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 23.3% gross margin and $37.6M annual free cash flow.
Live BV Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 7h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BV Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.61%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $11.63H $11.88L $11.51C $11.59VOL 948.1K
RES: $16.74SUP: $9.34SMA50: $10.77SMA200: $12.32
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
BV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
12.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BV today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BV)
Consumer Staples Rank #52 of 146
⚔️ AVO vs BV Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (BV vs. AVO, DOLE, DMC, AGRO)
Industry: Farming/Seeds/Milling (25 Tracked Issuers)Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BrightView Holdings Inc. (BV) ranks #52 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #72 by equity capitalization ($1.07B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DMC leads on earnings valuation at 14.0x trailing P/E, while DOLE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.3% ROIC and 7.8% gross margin. DOLE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with BV at 60/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BV
ACTIVE
BrightView Holdings Inc. | C- | 60/100 | 19.2x | 23.3% | 5.3% | +6.72% | $1.07B | Benchmark Subject |
| AVO Mission Produce Inc. | C- | 60/100 | 27.0x | 11.6% | 8.1% | +0.52% | $1.02B | /avo-vs-bv → |
| DOLE Dole plc | C- | 61/100 | 24.2x | 7.8% | 9.3% | +0.08% | $1.24B | /dole-vs-bv → |
| DMC Del Monte Corporation | D+ | 58/100 | 14.0x | 9.2% | 5.5% | -4.24% | $1.31B | /dmc-vs-bv → |
| AGRO Adecoagro S.A. | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -1.12% | $1.40B | /agro-vs-bv → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001734713In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), BrightView Holdings Inc. (BV) reported GAAP revenue of $2.67B (-3.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.77B ) , GAAP net income of $56.0M, operating cash flow of $291.8M, and free cash flow of $37.6M (-70.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BV closed FY2025 with $3.32B in total assets against $801.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.39, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $2.67B | $56.0M | $291.8M | $37.6M | $3.32B | $801.1M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $2.77B | $66.4M | $205.6M | $127.2M | $3.31B | $796.5M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $0 | -$7.7M | $129.9M | $129.9M | — | — |
3. BV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, BrightView Holdings Inc. (NYSE: BV) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $11.59 (+6.72% 1D, market cap $1.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, BV ranks #52 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BV compare to AVO and DOLE in the Consumer Staples sector?
Within the Consumer Staples sector (Farming/Seeds/Milling), BV carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.2x, gross margin of 23.3%, and ROIC of 5.3%. By comparison, AVO (Mission Produce Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 27.0x, ROIC 8.1%, cap $1.02B) and DOLE (Dole plc) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 24.2x, ROIC 9.3%, cap $1.24B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DMC leads on earnings multiple (14.0x) while DOLE leads on capital efficiency (9.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BV?
Per BV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001734713), BrightView Holdings Inc. generated $2.67B in revenue (-3.4% YoY), $56.0M in net income, and $37.6M in free cash flow against $3.32B in total assets and $801.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BV last traded at $11.59 (+6.72% on volume of 1,179,742 shares), positioning the stock +7.61% above its 50-day simple moving average ($10.77) and -5.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.32). Across its 52-week range of $9.82 to $15.00, BV sits at the 34.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 71.2 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.2% ($10.87 to $12.31).
BV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is BV stock moving today?
Why BV Stock surged +6.72% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 23% profit margin (5% return on capital), mixed timing at 19x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.