MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why BTGO Stock slipped -0.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$5.79 -0.17% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.78
BitGo Holdings Inc. (Class A) (BTGO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $680.6M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.78 (-0.22%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BTGO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BTGO SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (20% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.5% FCF Margin ($19.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$7.33-19.8% Next Q
58
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$5.88-6% Next Q
55
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$5.53+4.7% Next Q
53
CurrentGrade D$5.79-1.4% Hist 90D α
50
Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BTGO Turnaround Squeeze
While BTGO currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.92) and Max Pain ($6.08) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.73.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BTGO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BTGO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why BTGO Stock slipped -0.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
BitGo Holdings Inc. (Class A) (BTGO) slipped -0.17% to $5.79, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($4.65 – $24.5). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($4.65 – $24.5) with RSI-14 at 34.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $5.79 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $19.1M annual free cash flow.
Live BTGO Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BTGO)
- ✓Walkthrough of BTGO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BTGO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -42.62%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $5.38H $5.79L $5.09C $5.79VOL 1.11M
RES: $9.08SUP: $4.64SMA50: $6.92SMA200: $8.04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
BTGO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BTGO today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BTGO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BTGO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BTGO)
Financials Rank #853 of 1096
⚔️ LU vs BTGO Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BTGO vs. LU, FINV, GDOT, TRON)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BitGo Holdings Inc. (Class A) (BTGO) ranks #853 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #634 by equity capitalization ($680.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BTGO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while GDOT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.6% ROIC and — gross margin. GDOT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with BTGO at 50/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTGO
ACTIVE
BitGo Holdings Inc. (Class A) | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -0.17% | $680.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| LU Lufax Holding Ltd (each representing twenty (20) ) | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | -2.94% | $687.3M | /lu-vs-btgo → |
| FINV FinVolution Group | C- | 60/100 | — | — | 15.4% | +0.71% | $672.9M | /finv-vs-btgo → |
| GDOT Green Dot Corporation $0.001 par value (Class A) | C | 65/100 | — | — | 30.6% | +1.06% | $706.0M | /gdot-vs-btgo → |
| TRON Tron Inc. | E | 26/100 | — | — | -0.9% | -11.40% | $645.2M | /tron-vs-btgo → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001740604In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BitGo Holdings Inc. (Class A) (BTGO) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, BTGO closed FY2025 with $4.55B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $0 | — | — | $4.55B | — |
3. BTGO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BTGO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, BitGo Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: BTGO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $5.79 (-0.17% 1D, market cap $680.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BTGO ranks #853 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BTGO compare to LU and FINV in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), BTGO carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LU (Lufax Holding Ltd (each representing twenty (20) )) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $687.3M) and FINV (FinVolution Group) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 15.4%, cap $672.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BTGO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GDOT leads on capital efficiency (30.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BTGO?
Per BTGO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001740604), BitGo Holdings Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $4.55B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BTGO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BTGO last traded at $5.79 (-0.17% on volume of 676,472 shares), positioning the stock -16.33% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.92) and -27.99% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.04). Across its 52-week range of $4.65 to $24.50, BTGO sits at the 5.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.07 to $6.51).
BTGO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is BTGO stock moving today?
Why BTGO Stock slipped -0.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.