Stock Ratings / Financials / BTCT / dividends

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BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$0.71 -3.62% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.70

BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $8.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BTCT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BTCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, BTC Digital Ltd. (NASDAQ: BTCT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $0.71 (-3.62% 1D, market cap $8.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BTCT ranks #1008 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BTCT compare to MDBH and ICMB in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), BTCT carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -18.9%. By comparison, MDBH (MDB Capital Holdings LLC Class A common) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.2%, cap $9.8M) and ICMB (Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.9%, cap $10.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BTCT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MDBH leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BTCT?

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Per BTCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001796514), BTC Digital Ltd. generated $14.0M in revenue (+20.3% YoY), -$9.1M in net income, and -$13.8M in free cash flow against $39.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.70 (-0.84%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BTCT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BTCT SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (34% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 12% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 33.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (32% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.01-26.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$0.74-2.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$0.72-1.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$0.71-7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (46) → D- (38)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BTCT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BTCT currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.22) and Max Pain ($0.75) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.89.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BTCT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BTCT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 38%NO 62%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (13% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $33,946

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $611/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.3K

Yr 1

$12.8K

Yr 2

$14.4K

Yr 3

$16.3K

Yr 4

$18.4K

Yr 5

$20.8K

Yr 6

$23.5K

Yr 7

$26.6K

Yr 8

$30.0K

Yr 9

$33.9K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BTCT)

✓Walkthrough of BTCT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BTCT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -42.28%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $0.71H $0.71L $0.66C $0.71VOL 456.2K

RES: $3.66SUP: $0.15SMA50: $1.22SMA200: $1.14

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BTCT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BTCT Butterfly Map → + Track BTCT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +20.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BTCT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BTCT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BTCT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BTCT)

Financials Rank #1008 of 1096 ⚔️ MDBH vs BTCT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BTCT vs. MDBH, ICMB, ALP, NCPL)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT) ranks #1008 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #1077 by equity capitalization ($8.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BTCT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MDBH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and — gross margin. NCPL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with BTCT at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BTCT ACTIVE BTC Digital Ltd.	D-	38/100	—	—	-18.9%	-3.62%	$8.4M	Benchmark Subject
MDBH MDB Capital Holdings LLC Class A common	D+	54/100	—	—	8.2%	+9.70%	$9.8M	/mdbh-vs-btct →
ICMB Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc.	D+	55/100	—	—	-14.9%	+0.07%	$10.8M	/icmb-vs-btct →
ALP Alpha Compute Corp	D	49/100	—	—	—	-0.90%	$5.1M	/alp-vs-btct →
NCPL Netcapital Inc.	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+61.82%	$14.3M	/ncpl-vs-btct →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001796514

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT) reported GAAP revenue of $14.0M (+20.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.7M , and +54.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$9.1M, operating cash flow of -$5.3M, and free cash flow of -$13.8M (-1060.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, BTCT closed FY2025 with $39.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$14.0M	-$9.1M	-$5.3M	-$13.8M	$39.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$11.7M	-$2.0M	$1.6M	-$1.2M	$41.1M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$9.1M	-$2.8M	$3.8M	$3.8M	—	—

3. BTCT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BTCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BTCT compare to MDBH and ICMB in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BTCT?

Where is BTCT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BTCT last traded at $0.71 (-3.62% on volume of 201,773 shares), positioning the stock -41.80% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.22) and -37.72% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.14). Across its 52-week range of $0.43 to $2.75, BTCT sits at the 12.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.80).

BTCT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does BTCT pay a dividend and is it safe?

BTC Digital Ltd. (BTCT) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: BTCT RQD Cockpit BTCT 12M Forecast BTCT Earnings & Move BTCT Dividends & DRIP BTCT Insiders & 13F BTCT Whale Options BTCT Profit Sankey BTCT News & Why