Why BOLT Stock dropped -3.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$6.36 -3.34% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.31

Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $12.3M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BOLT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: BOLT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $6.36 (-3.34% 1D, market cap $12.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, BOLT ranks #593 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BOLT compare to HIND and KTTA in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), BOLT carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HIND (Vyome Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $12.3M) and KTTA (Pasithea Therapeutics Corp.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $12.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BOLT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BOLT leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BOLT?
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Per BOLT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001641281), Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. generated $7.7M in revenue (+0.1% YoY), -$33.4M in net income, and -$39.9M in free cash flow against $56.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.31 (-0.79%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (4)Whales (14)SEC (8)Macro (9)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9% Base Target
$8 Bull$6 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE BOLT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BOLT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BOLT SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (37% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 70% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 70.6 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
30
Grade E$4.24-4.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
33
Grade E$4.04+63.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
35
Grade E$6.59-3.5% Next Q
Current
38
Grade D-$6.36-7.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (30) → D- (38)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BOLT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BOLT currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.19) and Max Pain ($6.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.17.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BOLT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BOLT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why BOLT Stock dropped -3.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) dropped -3.34% to $6.36, trading at 70% of its 52-week range ($3.1 – $7.78). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 70% of its 52-week range ($3.1 – $7.78) with RSI-14 at 70.6 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $6.36 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live BOLT Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 9d ago
12 Health Care Stocks Moving In Friday's Intraday Session

Gainers Bolt Biotherapeutics (NASDAQ:BOLT) shares moved upwards by 58.8% to $6.65 during Friday's regular session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $7.9 million. Lucid Diagnostics (NASDAQ:LUCD)

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BOLT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BOLT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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BOLT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.69%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $6.58H $6.58L $6.36C $6.36VOL 76.3K
RES: $7.90SUP: $3.06SMA50: $4.19SMA200: $4.50
$8.11$6.75$5.39$4.04$2.68RES $7.90SUP $3.06$6.362026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BOLT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BOLT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BOLT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BOLT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BOLT)

Health Care Rank #593 of 1016 ⚔️ HIND vs BOLT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (BOLT vs. HIND, KTTA, BIVI, LPCN)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) ranks #593 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #877 by equity capitalization ($12.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BOLT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BOLT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. KTTA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 40/100 (D-) compared with BOLT at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BOLT ACTIVE
Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc.
D- 38/100 — — -35.0% -3.34% $12.3M Benchmark Subject
HIND
Vyome Holdings Inc.
E 29/100 — 68.4% -35.0% +1.74% $12.3M /hind-vs-bolt →
KTTA
Pasithea Therapeutics Corp.
D- 40/100 — — -35.0% -5.95% $12.3M /ktta-vs-bolt →
BIVI
BioVie Inc. (Class A)
E 32/100 — — -35.0% -5.48% $12.0M /bivi-vs-bolt →
LPCN
Lipocine Inc.
E 23/100 — — -35.0% +0.66% $12.5M /lpcn-vs-bolt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001641281

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (BOLT) reported GAAP revenue of $7.7M (+0.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.7M , and -2.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$33.4M, operating cash flow of -$39.9M, and free cash flow of -$39.9M (+34.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, BOLT closed FY2025 with $56.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $7.7M -$33.4M -$39.9M -$39.9M $56.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $7.7M -$63.1M -$61.3M -$61.3M $99.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $7.9M -$69.2M -$69.5M -$69.5M — —

3. BOLT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BOLT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: BOLT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $6.36 (-3.34% 1D, market cap $12.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, BOLT ranks #593 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BOLT compare to HIND and KTTA in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), BOLT carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HIND (Vyome Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $12.3M) and KTTA (Pasithea Therapeutics Corp.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $12.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BOLT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BOLT leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BOLT?

Per BOLT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001641281), Bolt Biotherapeutics Inc. generated $7.7M in revenue (+0.1% YoY), -$33.4M in net income, and -$39.9M in free cash flow against $56.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BOLT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BOLT last traded at $6.36 (-3.34% on volume of 76,274 shares), positioning the stock +51.79% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.19) and +41.33% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.50). Across its 52-week range of $3.10 to $7.78, BOLT sits at the 69.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 70.6 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.56 to $7.16).

BOLT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is BOLT stock moving today?

Why BOLT Stock dropped -3.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

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