Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BNED / earnings

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Barnes & Noble Education Inc (BNED) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.6% Move

$12.72 -1.47% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.66

Barnes & Noble Education Inc (BNED) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $440.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.66 (-0.45%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BNED)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BNED SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.2% FCF Margin ($33.9M FCF) & 23.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$12.51+3.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$12.95+4.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$13.57-6.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$12.72-0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BNED Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, BNED faces multiple-compression risk if 26.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.05) or 200D SMA ($10.73) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($12.55) toward Bear Floor ($9.79).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BNED• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BNED Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 30, 2027 (~89 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.6% Swing Band

±$0.97 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

BNED Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 55/100

Trailing EPS: $0.49 • YoY Revenue Growth: 6.9%

Model Bullish Setup (55/100)Model Risk Weight (45/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-05-02	$1.56B	$16.9M	$33.9M	23.4%
FY 2024	2025-05-03	$1.46B	-$65.8M	-$98.3M	23.1%
FY 2023	2024-04-27	$1.43B	-$75.7M	-$5.1M	23.4%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BNED)

✓Walkthrough of BNED's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BNED // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +29.01%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $12.67H $12.82L $12.35C $12.72VOL 257.9K

RES: $14.05SUP: $10.03SMA50: $12.05SMA200: $10.73

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BNED Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BNED Butterfly Map → + Track BNED →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

19.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BNED today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BNED. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BNED today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BNED)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #546 of 1011 ⚔️ HVT vs BNED Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BNED vs. HVT, SGU, TITN, WOOF)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Barnes & Noble Education Inc (BNED) ranks #546 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #600 by equity capitalization ($440.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SGU leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while BNED leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.3% ROIC and 23.4% gross margin. HVT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with BNED at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BNED ACTIVE Barnes & Noble Education Inc	D+	55/100	26.1x	23.4%	10.3%	-1.47%	$440.9M	Benchmark Subject
HVT Haverty Furniture Companies Inc.	C+	69/100	23.2x	60.7%	6.4%	+3.81%	$458.6M	/hvt-vs-bned →
SGU Star Group L.P.	C-	59/100	5.8x	31.5%	—	-1.15%	$423.9M	/sgu-vs-bned →
TITN Titan Machinery Inc.	D+	54/100	—	15.8%	-0.7%	+3.59%	$577.5M	/titn-vs-bned →
WOOF Petco Health and Wellness Company Inc. (Class A)	D	49/100	81.5x	38.7%	4.0%	+3.19%	$741.8M	/woof-vs-bned →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-05-02 • CIK 0001634117

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-02), Barnes & Noble Education Inc (BNED) reported GAAP revenue of $1.56B (+6.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.46B , and +9.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $16.9M, operating cash flow of $50.1M, and free cash flow of $33.9M (+134.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BNED closed FY2025 with $1.13B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.20, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-05-02	$1.56B	$16.9M	$50.1M	$33.9M	$1.13B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-05-03	$1.46B	-$65.8M	-$85.4M	-$98.3M	$1.09B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-04-27	$1.43B	-$75.7M	-$5.1M	-$5.1M	—	—

3. BNED Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BNED stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Barnes & Noble Education Inc (NYSE: BNED) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $12.72 (-1.47% 1D, market cap $440.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BNED ranks #546 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BNED compare to HVT and SGU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), BNED carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.1x, gross margin of 23.4%, and ROIC of 10.3%. By comparison, HVT (Haverty Furniture Companies Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 23.2x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $458.6M) and SGU (Star Group L.P.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 5.8x, ROIC —, cap $423.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SGU leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while BNED leads on capital efficiency (10.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BNED?

Per BNED's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-02, CIK 0001634117), Barnes & Noble Education Inc generated $1.56B in revenue (+6.9% YoY), $16.9M in net income, and $33.9M in free cash flow against $1.13B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BNED trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BNED last traded at $12.72 (-1.47% on volume of 166,418 shares), positioning the stock +5.56% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.05) and +18.55% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.73). Across its 52-week range of $5.90 to $14.75, BNED sits at the 77.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($11.75 to $13.69).

BNED Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is BNED's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Barnes & Noble Education Inc (BNED)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 30, 2027.

How much is BNED stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.6% event move for BNED, spanning a range between $11.75 and $13.69.

Direct Sub-Reports: BNED RQD Cockpit BNED 12M Forecast BNED Earnings & Move BNED Dividends & DRIP BNED Insiders & 13F BNED Whale Options BNED Profit Sankey BNED News & Why