Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BKE / financials

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Buckle Inc. (BKE) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$46.97 +3.32% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.36

Buckle Inc. (BKE) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (49% profit margin, 49% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.0% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $2.42B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.36 (+0.84%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 15.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BKE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (76/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BKE SCORES 76/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15.9% FCF Margin ($205.8M FCF) & 49% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.28 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$44.16+5.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$46.50+0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$46.54+0.9% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$46.97+7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (68) → B+ (76)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BKE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 76/100 (B+) score, BKE faces multiple-compression risk if 11.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 46.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($43.48) or 200D SMA ($47.40) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($50.77) toward Bear Floor ($38.52).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BKE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BKE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 76%NO 24%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How BKE Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$205.8M (15.9% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $1.26B

FY24

Rev $1.22B

FY25

Rev $1.30B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$1.30B	49%	20.1%	$209.7M	$205.8M	48.6%
FY 2024	$1.22B	48.7%	19.8%	$195.5M	$199.7M	45%
FY 2023	$1.26B	49%	21.5%	$219.9M	$254.6M	48.6%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BKE)

✓Walkthrough of BKE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BKE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.54%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $47.30H $47.67L $46.08C $46.97VOL 588.9K

RES: $48.00SUP: $38.53SMA50: $43.48SMA200: $47.40

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BKE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BKE Butterfly Map → + Track BKE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

1.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BKE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BKE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BKE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BKE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #69 of 1011 ⚔️ AEO vs BKE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BKE vs. AEO, BOOT, ANF, URBN)

Industry: Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Buckle Inc. (BKE) ranks #69 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #391 by equity capitalization ($2.42B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BKE leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while BKE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 48.6% ROIC and 49.0% gross margin. ANF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 84/100 (A-) compared with BKE at 76/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BKE ACTIVE Buckle Inc.	B+	76/100	11.5x	49.0%	48.6%	+3.32%	$2.42B	Benchmark Subject
AEO American Eagle Outfitters Inc.	B	72/100	18.1x	36.5%	12.3%	+3.39%	$3.37B	/aeo-vs-bke →
BOOT Boot Barn Holdings Inc.	C-	61/100	17.3x	38.1%	15.2%	+15.16%	$3.90B	/boot-vs-bke →
ANF Abercrombie & Fitch Company	A-	84/100	13.9x	—	40.7%	+2.81%	$7.03B	/anf-vs-bke →
URBN Urban Outfitters Inc.	B+	80/100	17.0x	36.0%	14.2%	+3.18%	$7.90B	/urbn-vs-bke →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000885245

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Buckle Inc. (BKE) reported GAAP revenue of $1.30B (+6.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.22B , and +2.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $209.7M, operating cash flow of $251.1M, and free cash flow of $205.8M (+3.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, BKE closed FY2025 with $991.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.28, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$1.30B	$209.7M	$251.1M	$205.8M	$991.3M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-02-01	$1.22B	$195.5M	$242.0M	$199.7M	$913.2M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-02-03	$1.26B	$219.9M	$254.6M	$254.6M	—	—

3. BKE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BKE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Buckle Inc. (NYSE: BKE) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $46.97 (+3.32% 1D, market cap $2.42B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BKE ranks #69 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BKE compare to AEO and BOOT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores), BKE carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.5x, gross margin of 49.0%, and ROIC of 48.6%. By comparison, AEO (American Eagle Outfitters Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 18.1x, ROIC 12.3%, cap $3.37B) and BOOT (Boot Barn Holdings Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 17.3x, ROIC 15.2%, cap $3.90B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BKE leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while BKE leads on capital efficiency (48.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BKE?

Per BKE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000885245), Buckle Inc. generated $1.30B in revenue (+6.6% YoY), $209.7M in net income, and $205.8M in free cash flow against $991.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (49% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BKE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BKE last traded at $46.97 (+3.32% on volume of 243,946 shares), positioning the stock +8.03% above its 50-day simple moving average ($43.48) and -0.91% below its 200-day simple moving average ($47.40). Across its 52-week range of $39.44 to $58.52, BKE sits at the 39.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($44.53 to $49.41).