Stock Ratings / Materials / BCPC / earnings

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Balchem Corporation (BCPC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.6% Move

$170.40 +2.47% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $171.57

Balchem Corporation (BCPC) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (36% profit margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $5.41B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $171.56 (+0.68%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 20.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BCPC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BCPC SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 9.67 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 20.9% FCF Margin ($216.6M FCF) & 35.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (50.4) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$167.83+1.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$170.73+3.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$177.00-3.7% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$170.40+6.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BCPC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, BCPC faces multiple-compression risk if 35.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 33.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($170.17) or 200D SMA ($169.26) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($179.60) toward Bear Floor ($139.73).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BCPC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BCPC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.6% Swing Band

±$7.84 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

BCPC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 70/100

Trailing EPS: $4.87 • YoY Revenue Growth: 8.8%

Model Bullish Setup (70/100)Model Risk Weight (30/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$1.04B	$154.8M	$216.6M	35.7%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$953.7M	$128.5M	$182.0M	35.3%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$922.4M	$108.5M	$183.8M	35.7%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating BCPC & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on BCPC
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BCPC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.43%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $172.9H $172.9L $169.7C $170.4VOL 249.3K

RES: $178.2SUP: $161.7SMA50: $170.2SMA200: $169.3

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BCPC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BCPC Butterfly Map → + Track BCPC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

27.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BCPC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BCPC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BCPC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BCPC)

Materials Rank #12 of 270 ⚔️ CE vs BCPC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (BCPC vs. CE, SXT, HXL, MEOH)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Balchem Corporation (BCPC) ranks #12 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #70 by equity capitalization ($5.41B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCPC leads on earnings valuation at 35.0x trailing P/E, while BCPC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.0% ROIC and 35.7% gross margin. BCPC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BCPC ACTIVE Balchem Corporation	B-	70/100	35.0x	35.7%	14.0%	+2.47%	$5.41B	Benchmark Subject
CE Celanese Corporation	D	44/100	—	20.5%	-10.7%	-1.08%	$5.30B	/ce-vs-bcpc →
SXT Sensient Technologies Corporation	C-	60/100	41.6x	33.5%	8.8%	-0.05%	$5.60B	/sxt-vs-bcpc →
HXL Hexcel Corporation	D+	52/100	55.0x	23.0%	6.2%	+1.97%	$6.02B	/hxl-vs-bcpc →
MEOH Methanex Corporation	D	51/100	—	—	—	-1.24%	$4.86B	/meoh-vs-bcpc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000009326

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Balchem Corporation (BCPC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.04B (+8.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $953.7M , and +12.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $154.8M, operating cash flow of $216.6M, and free cash flow of $216.6M (+19.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, BCPC closed FY2025 with $1.69B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 9.67, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.04B	$154.8M	$216.6M	$216.6M	$1.69B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$953.7M	$128.5M	$182.0M	$182.0M	$1.58B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$922.4M	$108.5M	$183.8M	$183.8M	—	—

3. BCPC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BCPC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Balchem Corporation (NASDAQ: BCPC) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $170.40 (+2.47% 1D, market cap $5.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, BCPC ranks #12 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BCPC compare to CE and SXT in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), BCPC carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.0x, gross margin of 35.7%, and ROIC of 14.0%. By comparison, CE (Celanese Corporation) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.7%, cap $5.30B) and SXT (Sensient Technologies Corporation) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 41.6x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $5.60B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCPC leads on earnings multiple (35.0x) while BCPC leads on capital efficiency (14.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCPC?

Per BCPC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000009326), Balchem Corporation generated $1.04B in revenue (+8.8% YoY), $154.8M in net income, and $216.6M in free cash flow against $1.69B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (36% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BCPC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BCPC last traded at $170.40 (+2.47% on volume of 196,229 shares), positioning the stock +0.14% above its 50-day simple moving average ($170.17) and +0.67% above its 200-day simple moving average ($169.26). Across its 52-week range of $147.18 to $183.90, BCPC sits at the 63.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($162.56 to $178.24).

BCPC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is BCPC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Balchem Corporation (BCPC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is BCPC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.6% event move for BCPC, spanning a range between $162.56 and $178.24.

Direct Sub-Reports: BCPC RQD Cockpit BCPC 12M Forecast BCPC Earnings & Move BCPC Dividends & DRIP BCPC Insiders & 13F BCPC Whale Options BCPC Profit Sankey BCPC News & Why