Stock Ratings / Financials / BCG / forecast

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Binah Capital Group Inc. (BCG) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.08 +2.77% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.08

Binah Capital Group Inc. (BCG) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $18.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.08 (+0.31%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 2.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BCG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BCG SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.8% FCF Margin ($5.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (46.8) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.05-2.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$1.02+4.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$1.07+0.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$1.08-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BCG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, BCG faces multiple-compression risk if 8.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1.18) or 200D SMA ($1.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.08) toward Bear Floor ($0.84).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BCG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BCG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your BCG Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.08: 9259.3 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.84

$7,778

$-2,222 (-22.2%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.08

$10,000

+$0 (+0.0%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $3.61

$33,426

+$23,426 (+234.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$1	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$3	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$1	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BCG)

✓Walkthrough of BCG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

BCG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -45.73%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $1.11H $1.15L $1.06C $1.08VOL 16.7K

RES: $1.63SUP: $0.83SMA50: $1.18SMA200: $1.70

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BCG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BCG Butterfly Map → + Track BCG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-5.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BCG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BCG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BCG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BCG)

Financials Rank #666 of 1096 ⚔️ ORIO vs BCG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BCG vs. ORIO, DRK, ARBK, BLNE)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Binah Capital Group Inc. (BCG) ranks #666 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #1061 by equity capitalization ($18.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCG leads on earnings valuation at 8.0x trailing P/E, while BCG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.6% ROIC and — gross margin. ORIO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with BCG at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BCG ACTIVE Binah Capital Group Inc.	D+	57/100	8.0x	—	12.6%	+2.77%	$18.4M	Benchmark Subject
ORIO Orion Digital Corp.	C-	60/100	—	—	—	-3.47%	$20.5M	/orio-vs-bcg →
DRK DarkHorse Technologies Inc.	E	30/100	—	—	-35.0%	-3.40%	$21.1M	/drk-vs-bcg →
ARBK Argo Blockchain plc	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+3.14%	$21.9M	/arbk-vs-bcg →
BLNE Beeline Holdings Inc.	E	34/100	—	—	-30.5%	-5.13%	$22.0M	/blne-vs-bcg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001953984

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Binah Capital Group Inc. (BCG) reported GAAP revenue of $182.0M (+10.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $164.4M , and +13.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.3M, operating cash flow of $5.2M, and free cash flow of $5.1M (+825.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, BCG closed FY2025 with $70.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$182.0M	$2.3M	$5.2M	$5.1M	$70.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$164.4M	-$4.6M	-$617.0K	-$702.0K	$66.7M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$159.9M	$571.0K	$2.6M	$2.6M	—	—

3. BCG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BCG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Binah Capital Group Inc. (NASDAQ: BCG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $1.08 (+2.77% 1D, market cap $18.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BCG ranks #666 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BCG compare to ORIO and DRK in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), BCG carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.6%. By comparison, ORIO (Orion Digital Corp.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $20.5M) and DRK (DarkHorse Technologies Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $21.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCG leads on earnings multiple (8.0x) while BCG leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCG?

Per BCG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001953984), Binah Capital Group Inc. generated $182.0M in revenue (+10.7% YoY), $2.3M in net income, and $5.1M in free cash flow against $70.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BCG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BCG last traded at $1.08 (+2.77% on volume of 13,609 shares), positioning the stock -8.47% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.18) and -36.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.70). Across its 52-week range of $0.95 to $3.44, BCG sits at the 5.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.3% ($1.00 to $1.20).

BCG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BCG's 12-month stock price target?

Binah Capital Group Inc. (BCG) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.08 (+0% from $1.08), with a bull-case target of $3.61 and a bear-case floor of $0.84.

Is BCG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates BCG D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 57/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: BCG RQD Cockpit BCG 12M Forecast BCG Earnings & Move BCG Dividends & DRIP BCG Insiders & 13F BCG Whale Options BCG Profit Sankey BCG News & Why