California BanCorp (BCAL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.2% Move

$21.44 -0.46% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

California BanCorp (BCAL) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $689.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B
Cash (11)Whales (9)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$26 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
📬 FREE BCAL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BCAL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.2%
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.2% Swing Band

±$0.90 Expected Swing
$20.54 (-4.2%)Spot $21.44$22.34 (+4.2%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

BCAL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 65/100

Trailing EPS: $1.96 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (65/100)Model Risk Weight (35/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0$63.1M$56.9M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$0$5.4M$49.7M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$0$25.9M$33.1M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating BCAL & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on BCAL
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BCAL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.71%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $21.66H $21.67L $21.41C $21.44VOL 157.1K
RES: $22.77SUP: $21.20SMA50: $21.61SMA200: $19.87
$22.73$21.40$20.08$18.75$17.43RES $22.77SUP $21.20$21.442026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BCAL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
0.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BCAL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BCAL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BCAL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BCAL)

Financials Rank #324 of 1096 ⚔️ BHB vs BCAL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BCAL vs. BHB, CBNK, MSBI, RRBI)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, California BanCorp (BCAL) ranks #324 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #629 by equity capitalization ($689.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCAL leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while CBNK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.2% ROIC and — gross margin. CBNK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with BCAL at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BCAL ACTIVE
California BanCorp
C 65/100 10.9x — 10.9% -0.46% $689.3M Benchmark Subject
BHB
Bar Harbor Bankshares Inc.
C- 60/100 18.6x — 6.9% +0.86% $686.1M /bhb-vs-bcal →
CBNK
Capital Bancorp Inc.
C+ 66/100 12.0x — 14.2% +1.16% $683.7M /cbnk-vs-bcal →
MSBI
Midland States Bancorp Inc.
D 48/100 — — -22.0% -1.23% $702.0M /msbi-vs-bcal →
RRBI
Red River Bancshares Inc.
C 63/100 15.7x — 11.7% +0.69% $672.2M /rrbi-vs-bcal →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001795815

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), California BanCorp (BCAL) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $63.1M, operating cash flow of $57.3M, and free cash flow of $56.9M (+14.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, BCAL closed FY2025 with $4.03B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $63.1M $57.3M $56.9M $4.03B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $5.4M $50.3M $49.7M $4.03B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $25.9M $33.1M $33.1M — —

3. BCAL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BCAL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, California BanCorp (NASDAQ: BCAL) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $21.44 (-0.46% 1D, market cap $689.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BCAL ranks #324 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BCAL compare to BHB and CBNK in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), BCAL carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, BHB (Bar Harbor Bankshares Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $686.1M) and CBNK (Capital Bancorp Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 14.2%, cap $683.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCAL leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while CBNK leads on capital efficiency (14.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCAL?

Per BCAL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001795815), California BanCorp generated $0 in revenue, $63.1M in net income, and $56.9M in free cash flow against $4.03B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BCAL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BCAL last traded at $21.44 (-0.46% on volume of 182,954 shares), positioning the stock -0.79% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.61) and +7.90% above its 200-day simple moving average ($19.87). Across its 52-week range of $16.87 to $22.41, BCAL sits at the 82.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.2% ($20.54 to $22.34).

BCAL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is BCAL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, California BanCorp (BCAL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is BCAL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.2% event move for BCAL, spanning a range between $20.54 and $22.34.

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