Stock Ratings / Materials / AYA / dividends

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Aya Gold & Silver Inc. (AYA) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$24.45 -3.32% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.26

Aya Gold & Silver Inc. (AYA) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.52B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.26 (-0.79%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AYA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AYA SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 2.5% FCF Margin ($98.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$27.42-2.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$26.67-10.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$23.77+2.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D$24.45-1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AYA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AYA currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($27.05) and Max Pain ($25.67) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $32.20.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AYA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AYA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.7K

Yr 1

$11.4K

Yr 2

$12.2K

Yr 3

$13.0K

Yr 4

$13.9K

Yr 5

$14.8K

Yr 6

$15.8K

Yr 7

$16.9K

Yr 8

$18.1K

Yr 9

$19.3K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AYA)

✓Walkthrough of AYA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AYA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +41.49%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $23.23H $24.45L $22.29C $24.45VOL 869.9K

RES: $35.53SUP: $23.60SMA50: $27.05SMA200: $20.83

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AYA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AYA Butterfly Map → + Track AYA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AYA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AYA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AYA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AYA)

Materials Rank #144 of 270 ⚔️ SKE vs AYA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (AYA vs. SKE, CGAU, TGB, FSM)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aya Gold & Silver Inc. (AYA) ranks #144 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #89 by equity capitalization ($3.52B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AYA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AYA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with — ROIC and — gross margin. AYA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AYA ACTIVE Aya Gold & Silver Inc.	D	51/100	—	—	—	-3.32%	$3.52B	Benchmark Subject
SKE Skeena Resources Limited	D	48/100	—	—	—	-4.52%	$3.55B	/ske-vs-aya →
CGAU Centerra Gold Inc.	D	50/100	—	—	—	-3.54%	$4.08B	/cgau-vs-aya →
TGB Trekor Metals Limited	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.72%	$2.88B	/tgb-vs-aya →
FSM Fortuna Mining Corp.	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.90%	$2.85B	/fsm-vs-aya →

2. AYA Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Aya Gold & Silver Inc. (AYA) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $3.52B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. AYA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AYA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Aya Gold & Silver Inc. (NASDAQ: AYA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $24.45 (-3.32% 1D, market cap $3.52B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, AYA ranks #144 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AYA compare to SKE and CGAU in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), AYA carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SKE (Skeena Resources Limited) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.55B) and CGAU (Centerra Gold Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AYA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AYA leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AYA?

For Aya Gold & Silver Inc. (AYA), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #144 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AYA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AYA last traded at $24.45 (-3.32% on volume of 381,510 shares), positioning the stock -9.61% below its 50-day simple moving average ($27.05) and +17.38% above its 200-day simple moving average ($20.83). Across its 52-week range of $9.25 to $30.67, AYA sits at the 71.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.3% ($22.18 to $26.72).

AYA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does AYA pay a dividend and is it safe?

Aya Gold & Silver Inc. (AYA) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: AYA RQD Cockpit AYA 12M Forecast AYA Earnings & Move AYA Dividends & DRIP AYA Insiders & 13F AYA Whale Options AYA Profit Sankey AYA News & Why