Mission Produce Inc. (AVO) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.85 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, AVO faces multiple-compression risk if 27.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.48) or 200D SMA ($12.89) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.70) toward Bear Floor ($9.13).
Mission Produce Inc. (AVO) advanced +0.52% to $11.60, trading at 28% of its 52-week range ($10.07 – $15.53). Solid 12% profit margin (8% return on capital), mixed timing at 27x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
Over the last six months, Mission Produce’s shares have sunk to $11.61, producing a disappointing 16.3% loss - a stark contrast to the S&P 500’s 7.5% gain. This may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.
Mission Produce shares closed at US$11.50 most recently, and after a bumpy five year ride investors are increasingly asking whether that tag still lines up with the cash the avocado group can realistically generate. The
Mission Produce trades at an industry valuation discount, but avocado pricing pressure, rising debt and Calavo integration risks cloud its recovery prospects.
AI heavyweights are lining up eye catching capital raises, with Anthropic and Meta planning equity offerings worth close to US$200b combined. When giants commit that kind of money, investors often look for smaller, faste
AVO's higher Peruvian avocado output and Calavo integration promise growth and cost savings, but pricing pressure and margin risks persist.
AI dealmaking has exploded, with a single day recently seeing roughly US$235b of AI related financings led by Anthropic’s planned mega IPO. That kind of capital rush puts growth back in the spotlight and rewards business
Oil prices holding above US$110 have pushed energy and transport costs higher, which keeps pressure on inflation and interest rates. In that kind of backdrop, businesses that are still growing fast, with managers heavily
A stock with low volatility can be reassuring, but it doesn’t always mean strong long-term performance. Investors who prioritize stability may miss out on higher-reward opportunities elsewhere.
AI heavyweights are about to report earnings and the market wants proof that all the hype turns into real revenue. When investors chase clear growth stories, companies where founders and executives still own a big chunk
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +12.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AVO today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AVO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mission Produce Inc. (AVO) ranks #53 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #74 by equity capitalization ($1.02B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DMC leads on earnings valuation at 14.0x trailing P/E, while DOLE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.3% ROIC and 7.8% gross margin. DOLE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with AVO at 60/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVO
ACTIVE
Mission Produce Inc. | C- | 60/100 | 27.0x | 11.6% | 8.1% | +0.52% | $1.02B | Benchmark Subject |
| BV BrightView Holdings Inc. | C- | 60/100 | 19.2x | 23.3% | 5.3% | +6.72% | $1.07B | /bv-vs-avo → |
| DOLE Dole plc | C- | 61/100 | 24.2x | 7.8% | 9.3% | +0.08% | $1.24B | /dole-vs-avo → |
| DMC Del Monte Corporation | D+ | 58/100 | 14.0x | 9.2% | 5.5% | -4.24% | $1.31B | /dmc-vs-avo → |
| AGRO Adecoagro S.A. | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -1.12% | $1.40B | /agro-vs-avo → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31), Mission Produce Inc. (AVO) reported GAAP revenue of $1.39B (+12.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.23B , and +45.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $37.7M, operating cash flow of $88.6M, and free cash flow of $37.2M (-39.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, AVO closed FY2025 with $997.7M in total assets against $97.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.85, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-10-31 | $1.39B | $37.7M | $88.6M | $37.2M | $997.7M | $97.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-10-31 | $1.23B | $36.7M | $93.4M | $61.2M | $997.8M | $114.9M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-10-31 | $953.9M | -$2.8M | $29.2M | $29.2M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Mission Produce Inc. (NASDAQ: AVO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $11.60 (+0.52% 1D, market cap $1.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, AVO ranks #53 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Staples sector (Farming/Seeds/Milling), AVO carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.0x, gross margin of 11.6%, and ROIC of 8.1%. By comparison, BV (BrightView Holdings Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 19.2x, ROIC 5.3%, cap $1.07B) and DOLE (Dole plc) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 24.2x, ROIC 9.3%, cap $1.24B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DMC leads on earnings multiple (14.0x) while DOLE leads on capital efficiency (9.3% ROIC).
Per AVO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31, CIK 0001802974), Mission Produce Inc. generated $1.39B in revenue (+12.7% YoY), $37.7M in net income, and $37.2M in free cash flow against $997.7M in total assets and $97.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
AVO last traded at $11.60 (+0.52% on volume of 536,476 shares), positioning the stock -7.05% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.48) and -10.01% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.89). Across its 52-week range of $10.07 to $15.53, AVO sits at the 28.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($10.67 to $12.53).
Why AVO Stock advanced +0.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 12% profit margin (8% return on capital), mixed timing at 27x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
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