Avalanche Treasury Corporation (Class A) (AVAT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-01, Avalanche Treasury Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: AVAT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $1.07 (-7.76% 1D, market cap $46.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AVAT ranks #939 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), AVAT carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MATH (Metalpha Technology Holding Limited) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $47.5M) and NCTY (The9 Limited American Depository Shares) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $47.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AVAT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AVX leads on capital efficiency (-10.4% ROIC).
Per AVAT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002092446), Avalanche Treasury Corporation (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $190.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($1.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
While AVAT currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.22) and Max Pain ($1.12) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.19.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Avalanche Treasury Corporation (Class A) (AVAT) dropped -7.76% to $1.07, trading at 8% of its 52-week range ($0.28 – $10.66). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AVAT today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AVAT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Avalanche Treasury Corporation (Class A) (AVAT) ranks #939 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #1018 by equity capitalization ($46.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AVAT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AVX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -10.4% ROIC and — gross margin. MATH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with AVAT at 45/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVAT
ACTIVE
Avalanche Treasury Corporation (Class A) | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | -7.76% | $46.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| MATH Metalpha Technology Holding Limited | D+ | 55/100 | — | — | — | -4.76% | $47.5M | /math-vs-avat → |
| NCTY The9 Limited American Depository Shares | E | 24/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -3.83% | $47.9M | /ncty-vs-avat → |
| AVX Avax One Technology Ltd. | D- | 39/100 | — | — | -10.4% | +11.55% | $48.2M | /avx-vs-avat → |
| FRMM Forum Markets Incorporated | E | 29/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -2.11% | $49.0M | /frmm-vs-avat → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Avalanche Treasury Corporation (Class A) (AVAT) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, AVAT closed FY2025 with $190.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $0 | — | — | $190.9M | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Avalanche Treasury Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: AVAT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $1.07 (-7.76% 1D, market cap $46.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AVAT ranks #939 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), AVAT carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MATH (Metalpha Technology Holding Limited) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $47.5M) and NCTY (The9 Limited American Depository Shares) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $47.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AVAT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AVX leads on capital efficiency (-10.4% ROIC).
Per AVAT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002092446), Avalanche Treasury Corporation (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $190.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
AVAT last traded at $1.07 (-7.76% on volume of 260,604 shares), positioning the stock -12.30% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.22) and -81.06% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.65). Across its 52-week range of $0.28 to $10.66, AVAT sits at the 7.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.20).
Why AVAT Stock dropped -7.76% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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