MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why AURE Stock surged +5.45% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.07 +5.45% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.08
Aurelion Inc. (Class A) (AURE) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID
Cap $36.9M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.08 (+0.79%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AURE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AURE SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (29% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (24% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2024 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$1.04-5.8% Next Q
34
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$0.98+7.1% Next Q
37
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$1.05+1.9% Next Q
39
CurrentGrade D-$1.07-7% Hist 90D α
42
Trajectory: E (34) → D- (42)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AURE Turnaround Squeeze
While AURE currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.24) and Max Pain ($1.12) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.75.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AURE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AURE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why AURE Stock surged +5.45% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Aurelion Inc. (Class A) (AURE) surged +5.45% to $1.07, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($0.85 – $5.48). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($0.85 – $5.48) with RSI-14 at 47.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.07 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live AURE Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 7h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AURE)
- ✓Walkthrough of AURE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AURE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -53.48%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $1.09H $1.11L $0.95C $1.07VOL 157.4K
RES: $1.59SUP: $0.80SMA50: $1.24SMA200: $1.96
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
AURE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +83.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AURE today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AURE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AURE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AURE)
Financials Rank #967 of 1096
⚔️ MI vs AURE Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AURE vs. MI, CNF, YRD, AMTD)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aurelion Inc. (Class A) (AURE) ranks #967 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #1029 by equity capitalization ($36.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, YRD leads on earnings valuation at 5.3x trailing P/E, while AMTD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.9% ROIC and — gross margin. AMTD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with AURE at 42/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AURE
ACTIVE
Aurelion Inc. (Class A) | D- | 42/100 | — | — | — | +5.45% | $36.9M | Benchmark Subject |
| MI NFT Limited Class A Ordinary Share | E | 31/100 | — | — | -0.9% | -2.47% | $35.7M | /mi-vs-aure → |
| CNF CNFinance Holdings Limited each representing two hundred (200) | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | — | +8.33% | $34.7M | /cnf-vs-aure → |
| YRD Yiren Digital Ltd. each representing two | D+ | 55/100 | 5.3x | — | -35.0% | -0.84% | $41.2M | /yrd-vs-aure → |
| AMTD AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) | C- | 59/100 | — | — | 4.9% | +1.85% | $33.0M | /amtd-vs-aure → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2024)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2024-09-30 • CIK 0001765850In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2024, filed 2024-09-30), Aurelion Inc. (Class A) (AURE) reported GAAP revenue of $639.9K (+83.6% vs. FY2023 revenue of $348.5K ) , GAAP net income of -$6.9M, operating cash flow of -$1.7M, and free cash flow of -$1.7M (-66.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, AURE closed FY2024 with $0 in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $639.9K | -$6.9M | -$1.7M | -$1.7M | — | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $348.5K | -$1.0M | -$996.6K | -$996.6K | — | — |
3. AURE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs AURE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Aurelion Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: AURE) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $1.07 (+5.45% 1D, market cap $36.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AURE ranks #967 in composite RQD confidence.
How does AURE compare to MI and CNF in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), AURE carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MI (NFT Limited Class A Ordinary Share) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.9%, cap $35.7M) and CNF (CNFinance Holdings Limited each representing two hundred (200)) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $34.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, YRD leads on earnings multiple (5.3x) while AMTD leads on capital efficiency (4.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AURE?
Per AURE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2024, filed 2024-09-30, CIK 0001765850), Aurelion Inc. (Class A) generated $639.9K in revenue (+83.6% YoY), -$6.9M in net income, and -$1.7M in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is AURE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
AURE last traded at $1.07 (+5.45% on volume of 118,626 shares), positioning the stock -13.71% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.24) and -45.41% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.96). Across its 52-week range of $0.85 to $5.48, AURE sits at the 4.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.20).
AURE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is AURE stock moving today?
Why AURE Stock surged +5.45% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.