Why AUPH Stock slipped -0.86% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$17.21 -0.86% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.22

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc (AUPH) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (89% profit margin, 17% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $2.29B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.23 (+0.09%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 47.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510075
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk A
Cash (13)Whales (9)SEC (18)Macro (18)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.7% Base Target
$22 Bull$19 Base$14 Bear
📬 FREE AUPH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AUPH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (75/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AUPH SCORES 75/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.33 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 68% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 49.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$16.65-0.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$16.51+2.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
72
Grade B$16.86+2.1% Next Q
Current
75
Grade B$17.21+7.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (67) → B (75)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AUPH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 75/100 (B) score, AUPH faces multiple-compression risk if 8.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 86.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($16.49) or 200D SMA ($15.65) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($18.53) toward Bear Floor ($14.11).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AUPH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AUPH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why AUPH Stock slipped -0.86% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc (AUPH) slipped -0.86% to $17.21, trading at 68% of its 52-week range ($12.79 – $19.25). High-quality cash engine (89% profit margin, 17% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 68% of its 52-week range ($12.79 – $19.25) with RSI-14 at 49.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6% around $17.21 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 88.5% gross margin and $135.7M annual free cash flow.
Live AUPH Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 2d ago
Aurinia: Q3 Earnings Snapshot

EDMONTON, Alberta (AP) — EDMONTON, Alberta (AP) — Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc. (AUPH) on Friday reported third-quarter net income of $31.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (AUPH Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AUPH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.83%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $16.76H $17.21L $16.48C $17.21VOL 960.8K
RES: $17.79SUP: $15.90SMA50: $16.49SMA200: $15.65
$19.64$18.04$16.45$14.85$13.26RES $17.79SUP $15.90$17.212026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AUPH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-5.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +20.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AUPH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AUPH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AUPH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AUPH)

Health Care Rank #44 of 1016 ⚔️ PBH vs AUPH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (AUPH vs. PBH, HRMY, SDGR, PHVS)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc (AUPH) ranks #44 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #237 by equity capitalization ($2.29B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AUPH leads on earnings valuation at 8.0x trailing P/E, while HRMY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 63.0% ROIC and 77.2% gross margin. HRMY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with AUPH at 75/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AUPH ACTIVE
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc
B 75/100 8.0x 88.5% 16.5% -0.86% $2.29B Benchmark Subject
PBH
Prestige Consumer Healthcare Inc.
B 72/100 12.1x 54.7% 13.8% +2.01% $2.31B /pbh-vs-auph →
HRMY
Harmony Biosciences Holdings Inc.
B+ 80/100 14.2x 77.2% 63.0% +0.23% $2.25B /hrmy-vs-auph →
SDGR
Schrodinger Inc.
D- 43/100 — 55.7% -35.0% -2.85% $2.24B /sdgr-vs-auph →
PHVS
Pharvaris N.V.
C 63/100 — — — +2.32% $2.34B /phvs-vs-auph →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001600620

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc (AUPH) reported GAAP revenue of $283.1M (+20.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $235.1M , and +61.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $287.2M, operating cash flow of $135.7M, and free cash flow of $135.7M (+205.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, AUPH closed FY2025 with $751.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.33, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $283.1M $287.2M $135.7M $135.7M $751.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $235.1M $5.8M $44.4M $44.4M $550.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $175.5M -$78.0M -$33.5M -$33.5M — —

3. AUPH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AUPH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc (NASDAQ: AUPH) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $17.21 (-0.86% 1D, market cap $2.29B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, AUPH ranks #44 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AUPH compare to PBH and HRMY in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), AUPH carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.0x, gross margin of 88.5%, and ROIC of 16.5%. By comparison, PBH (Prestige Consumer Healthcare Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 12.1x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $2.31B) and HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings Inc.) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 14.2x, ROIC 63.0%, cap $2.25B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AUPH leads on earnings multiple (8.0x) while HRMY leads on capital efficiency (63.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AUPH?

Per AUPH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001600620), Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc generated $283.1M in revenue (+20.4% YoY), $287.2M in net income, and $135.7M in free cash flow against $751.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AUPH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AUPH last traded at $17.21 (-0.86% on volume of 744,753 shares), positioning the stock +4.37% above its 50-day simple moving average ($16.49) and +9.97% above its 200-day simple moving average ($15.65). Across its 52-week range of $12.79 to $19.25, AUPH sits at the 68.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($16.18 to $18.24).

AUPH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is AUPH stock moving today?

Why AUPH Stock slipped -0.86% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (89% profit margin, 17% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

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