Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ATMU / forecast

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Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. (ATMU) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$46.46 +3.04% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.83

Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. (ATMU) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 77/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (28% profit margin, 35% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.3% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $3.79B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.83 (+0.79%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 8.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.3% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ATMU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (77/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ATMU SCORES 77/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.4% FCF Margin ($148.8M FCF) & 28.2% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.31 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (54.9) create a -7 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$42.81+3.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$44.37+0.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$44.61+4.1% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$46.46+7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (69) → B+ (77)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ATMU Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 77/100 (B+) score, ATMU faces multiple-compression risk if 18.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 25.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($45.45) or 200D SMA ($53.05) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($50.43) toward Bear Floor ($38.10).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ATMU• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ATMU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 77%NO 23%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ATMU Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $46.46: 215.2 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $38.10

$8,201

$-1,799 (-18.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $50.43

$10,854

+$854 (+8.5%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $69.83

$15,030

+$5,030 (+50.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (43 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 32● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	OUTPERFORM	$52	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	STRONG BUY	$66	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$44	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ATMU Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ATMU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.72%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $45.64H $46.57L $45.44C $46.46VOL 719.3K

RES: $58.86SUP: $38.79SMA50: $45.45SMA200: $53.05

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ATMU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ATMU Butterfly Map → + Track ATMU →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

11.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ATMU today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ATMU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ATMU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ATMU)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #54 of 1011 ⚔️ DORM vs ATMU Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ATMU vs. DORM, GTX, GNTX, VGNT)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. (ATMU) ranks #54 by composite RQD confidence (77/100, grade B+) and #325 by equity capitalization ($3.79B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GNTX leads on earnings valuation at 11.1x trailing P/E, while GTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 69.2% ROIC and 20.4% gross margin. ATMU currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 77/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ATMU ACTIVE Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.	B+	77/100	18.3x	28.2%	34.6%	+3.04%	$3.79B	Benchmark Subject
DORM Dorman Products Inc.	B-	71/100	19.3x	42.1%	12.9%	+3.03%	$3.94B	/dorm-vs-atmu →
GTX Garrett Motion Inc.	C-	61/100	13.5x	20.4%	69.2%	+0.67%	$4.19B	/gtx-vs-atmu →
GNTX Gentex Corporation	C+	66/100	11.1x	34.2%	14.8%	+0.95%	$4.27B	/gntx-vs-atmu →
VGNT Versigent PLC	D+	53/100	—	—	—	+2.00%	$3.00B	/vgnt-vs-atmu →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001921963

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. (ATMU) reported GAAP revenue of $1.76B (+5.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.67B , and +8.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $207.4M, operating cash flow of $202.7M, and free cash flow of $148.8M (+162.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ATMU closed FY2025 with $1.35B in total assets against $540.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.31, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.76B	$207.4M	$202.7M	$148.8M	$1.35B	$540.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.67B	$185.6M	$105.4M	$56.8M	$1.19B	$570.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.63B	$171.3M	$189.0M	$189.0M	—	—

3. ATMU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ATMU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. (NYSE: ATMU) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $46.46 (+3.04% 1D, market cap $3.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ATMU ranks #54 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ATMU compare to DORM and GTX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), ATMU carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.3x, gross margin of 28.2%, and ROIC of 34.6%. By comparison, DORM (Dorman Products Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 19.3x, ROIC 12.9%, cap $3.94B) and GTX (Garrett Motion Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 13.5x, ROIC 69.2%, cap $4.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GNTX leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while GTX leads on capital efficiency (69.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ATMU?

Per ATMU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001921963), Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. generated $1.76B in revenue (+5.7% YoY), $207.4M in net income, and $148.8M in free cash flow against $1.35B in total assets and $540.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (28% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ATMU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ATMU last traded at $46.46 (+3.04% on volume of 677,692 shares), positioning the stock +2.22% above its 50-day simple moving average ($45.45) and -12.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($53.05). Across its 52-week range of $40.75 to $66.50, ATMU sits at the 22.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($43.35 to $49.57).

ATMU Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ATMU's 12-month stock price target?

Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. (ATMU) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $50.43 (+8.5% from $46.46), with a bull-case target of $69.83 and a bear-case floor of $38.1.

Is ATMU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates ATMU B+ (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 77/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: ATMU RQD Cockpit ATMU 12M Forecast ATMU Earnings & Move ATMU Dividends & DRIP ATMU Insiders & 13F ATMU Whale Options ATMU Profit Sankey ATMU News & Why