Aether Holdings Inc. (ATHR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$2.65 -2.93% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.63

Aether Holdings Inc. (ATHR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $32.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.63 (-0.72%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510028
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (5)Whales (6)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.6% Base Target
$7 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE ATHR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ATHR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ATHR SCORES 28/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+6/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
36
Grade E$2.98-11.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
33
Grade E$2.64-2.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
31
Grade E$2.58+2.7% Next Q
Current
28
Grade E$2.65-10% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (36) → E (28)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ATHR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ATHR currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.11) and Max Pain ($2.78) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.20.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ATHR• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ATHR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.33 Expected Swing
$2.32 (-12.5%)Spot $2.65$2.98 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ATHR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 28/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -4.1%

Model Bullish Setup (28/100)Model Risk Weight (72/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-09-30$1.4M-$3.1M-$3.6M70.8%
FY 20242024-09-30$1.4M-$939.4K-$688.7K69.1%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ATHR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ATHR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ATHR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.40%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $2.89H $3.38L $2.61C $2.65VOL 10.8K
RES: $3.57SUP: $2.27SMA50: $3.11SMA200: $3.64
$5.85$4.89$3.93$2.96$2.00RES $3.57SUP $2.27$2.652026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ATHR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ATHR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ATHR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ATHR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ATHR)

Technology Rank #687 of 714 ⚔️ PXLW vs ATHR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ATHR vs. PXLW, CLPS, ZDGE, RYET)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aether Holdings Inc. (ATHR) ranks #687 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #586 by equity capitalization ($32.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ATHR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ATHR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 70.8% gross margin. RYET currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with ATHR at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ATHR ACTIVE
Aether Holdings Inc.
E 28/100 — 70.8% -35.0% -2.93% $32.4M Benchmark Subject
PXLW
Pixelworks Inc.
E 33/100 — 85.0% -35.0% -3.60% $32.4M /pxlw-vs-athr →
CLPS
CLPS Incorporation
D- 38/100 — 22.1% — -1.09% $27.2M /clps-vs-athr →
ZDGE
Zedge Inc. (Class B)
D- 38/100 — 96.0% -35.0% -4.94% $38.8M /zdge-vs-athr →
RYET
Ruanyun Edai Technology Inc.
D 47/100 — 25.2% — 0.00% $26.1M /ryet-vs-athr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0002026353

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Aether Holdings Inc. (ATHR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.4M (-4.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.4M ) , GAAP net income of -$3.1M, operating cash flow of -$3.6M, and free cash flow of -$3.6M (-418.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, ATHR closed FY2025 with $4.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $1.4M -$3.1M -$3.6M -$3.6M $4.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $1.4M -$939.4K -$688.7K -$688.7K — —

3. ATHR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ATHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Aether Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: ATHR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $2.65 (-2.93% 1D, market cap $32.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ATHR ranks #687 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ATHR compare to PXLW and CLPS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), ATHR carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 70.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, PXLW (Pixelworks Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $32.4M) and CLPS (CLPS Incorporation) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $27.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATHR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ATHR leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ATHR?

Per ATHR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0002026353), Aether Holdings Inc. generated $1.4M in revenue (-4.1% YoY), -$3.1M in net income, and -$3.6M in free cash flow against $4.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ATHR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ATHR last traded at $2.65 (-2.93% on volume of 29,750 shares), positioning the stock -14.79% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.11) and -27.20% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.64). Across its 52-week range of $1.87 to $6.86, ATHR sits at the 15.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.32 to $2.98).

ATHR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ATHR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Aether Holdings Inc. (ATHR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is ATHR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for ATHR, spanning a range between $2.32 and $2.98.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $213.66 -0.80% AAPL $348.91 +1.48% MSFT $530.14 -0.16% TSLA $403.30 -0.23% PLTR $196.42 -0.20% SOFI $17.61 +2.74% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%