MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why ARDC Stock advanced +1.04% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$11.67 +1.04% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.67
Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund Inc. (ARDC) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $267.4M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.67 (+0.00%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARDC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±2.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ARDC SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 20% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 60 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$11.45-0.7% Next Q
51
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$11.37+0.6% Next Q
54
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$11.44+2% Next Q
56
CurrentGrade C-$11.67+0.2% Hist 90D α
59
Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ARDC Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, ARDC faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.77) or 200D SMA ($12.43) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.72) toward Bear Floor ($9.14).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARDC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ARDC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ARDC Stock advanced +1.04% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund Inc. (ARDC) advanced +1.04% to $11.67, trading at 20% of its 52-week range ($11.1 – $13.99). Solid steady margins (steady margins), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 20% of its 52-week range ($11.1 – $13.99) with RSI-14 at 60 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±2.6% around $11.67 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $7.5M annual free cash flow.
Live ARDC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ARDC Tape Review)
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- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
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ARDC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.31%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $11.68H $11.85L $11.65C $11.67VOL 197.7K
RES: $12.62SUP: $10.92SMA50: $11.77SMA200: $12.43
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ARDC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARDC today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARDC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARDC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARDC)
Financials Rank #571 of 1096
⚔️ RMMZ vs ARDC Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ARDC vs. RMMZ, GBAB, FUND, PMM)
Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund Inc. (ARDC) ranks #571 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #839 by equity capitalization ($267.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARDC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ARDC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with — ROIC and — gross margin. FUND currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with ARDC at 59/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARDC
ACTIVE
Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund Inc. | C- | 59/100 | — | — | — | +1.04% | $267.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| RMMZ RiverNorth Managed Duration Municipal Income Fund II Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | — | +2.34% | $276.6M | /rmmz-vs-ardc → |
| GBAB Guggenheim Taxable Municipal Bond & Investment Grade Debt Trust of | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | +1.28% | $283.8M | /gbab-vs-ardc → |
| FUND Sprott Focus Trust Inc. | C- | 60/100 | — | — | — | +1.57% | $297.5M | /fund-vs-ardc → |
| PMM Franklin Managed Municipal Income Trust | C- | 59/100 | — | — | — | +1.31% | $301.2M | /pmm-vs-ardc → |
2. ARDC Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTAres Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund Inc. (ARDC) operates in Investment Managers (Financials) with an equity capitalization of $267.4M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. ARDC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ARDC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund Inc. (NYSE: ARDC) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $11.67 (+1.04% 1D, market cap $267.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ARDC ranks #571 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ARDC compare to RMMZ and GBAB in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), ARDC carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, RMMZ (RiverNorth Managed Duration Municipal Income Fund II Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $276.6M) and GBAB (Guggenheim Taxable Municipal Bond & Investment Grade Debt Trust of) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $283.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARDC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ARDC leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARDC?
For Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund Inc. (ARDC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #571 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ARDC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ARDC last traded at $11.67 (+1.04% on volume of 230,917 shares), positioning the stock -0.85% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.77) and -6.11% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.43). Across its 52-week range of $11.10 to $13.99, ARDC sits at the 19.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±2.6% ($11.37 to $11.97).
ARDC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ARDC stock moving today?
Why ARDC Stock advanced +1.04% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (steady margins), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.