Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. (ARCT) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 53% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
While ARCT currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.61) and Max Pain ($12.76) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.86.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. (ARCT) advanced +0.66% to $12.15, trading at 53% of its 52-week range ($5.5 – $17.96). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
SAN DIEGO, October 26, 2026--Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. (the "Company", "Arcturus", Nasdaq: ARCT), a messenger RNA medicines company focused on the development of liver and respiratory therapeutics, today announ
Here is how Agilon Health (AGL) and Arcturus Therapeutics (ARCT) have performed compared to their sector so far this year.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -46.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARCT today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARCT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. (ARCT) ranks #918 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #503 by equity capitalization ($345.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CYPH leads on earnings valuation at 71.3x trailing P/E, while CYPH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -23.3% ROIC and — gross margin. GALT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 42/100 (D-) compared with ARCT at 31/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARCT
ACTIVE
Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. | E | 31/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +0.66% | $345.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| AVIR Atea Pharmaceuticals Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +0.94% | $345.7M | /avir-vs-arct → |
| CTNM Contineum Therapeutics Inc. (Class A) | D- | 40/100 | — | — | -29.0% | +1.97% | $351.0M | /ctnm-vs-arct → |
| GALT Galectin Therapeutics Inc. | D- | 42/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -0.56% | $355.8M | /galt-vs-arct → |
| CYPH Cypherpunk Technologies Inc. | D- | 40/100 | 71.3x | — | -23.3% | +2.16% | $356.7M | /cyph-vs-arct → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. (ARCT) reported GAAP revenue of $82.0M (-46.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $152.3M , and -50.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$65.8M, operating cash flow of -$74.3M, and free cash flow of -$74.5M (-23.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARCT closed FY2025 with $271.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.25, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $82.0M | -$65.8M | -$74.3M | -$74.5M | $271.1M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $152.3M | -$80.9M | -$59.7M | -$60.4M | $344.1M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $166.8M | -$29.7M | -$18.1M | -$18.1M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: ARCT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $12.15 (+0.66% 1D, market cap $345.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ARCT ranks #918 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ARCT carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AVIR (Atea Pharmaceuticals Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $345.7M) and CTNM (Contineum Therapeutics Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -29.0%, cap $351.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CYPH leads on earnings multiple (71.3x) while CYPH leads on capital efficiency (-23.3% ROIC).
Per ARCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001768224), Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. generated $82.0M in revenue (-46.1% YoY), -$65.8M in net income, and -$74.5M in free cash flow against $271.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
ARCT last traded at $12.15 (+0.66% on volume of 474,795 shares), positioning the stock -10.73% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.61) and +35.00% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.00). Across its 52-week range of $5.50 to $17.96, ARCT sits at the 53.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($10.63 to $13.67).
Why ARCT Stock advanced +0.66% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
To protect compute speed and zero-delay Cboe BZX data quality for active members, our current $9.95/month Roarable Pro cohort is 100% full. Join the priority waiting list below and we will notify you the moment the next batch of Pro accounts opens (and lock in your $9.95/mo rate).
Link your personal ChatGPT, Claude Desktop, or Cursor via Roarable's Model Context Protocol (`mcp.roarable.com`) to query all 5,289 stocks, inspect Butterfly supply chains, and trade your `$100K Arena` account.
Interrogate SEC 10-K/10-Q filings on demand and ask custom ticker, valuation, or short-thesis questions directly to any of our 8 specialized AI Quant Analysts.
Command our AI agents to sort and sift 5,289 stocks by custom formulas, follow multi-indicator technical & cash-flow setups, and send you instant Email/SMS breakout & downgrade alerts.
Unlock sub-second Cboe BZX streaming quotes, pre-market/after-hours delta scanners, instant SEC Form 4 insider cluster alerts, and unlimited portfolio stress-testing.
All 8 Roarable Analysts (Mara Quenwick, Devon Kess, Gideon Vane, Eliott Vance, Sorel Thorne, Corin Hale, Tessa Rane, and Felix Orven) are proprietary AI Quant Analysts and automated algorithmic specialists — not human financial advisors, fiduciaries, or registered broker-dealers. While one-to-many daily stock ratings and briefings are free, custom 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alert agents, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections consume dedicated per-user compute and require a $9.95/month Roarable Pro membership. All AI outputs are for educational and research purposes only and never constitute individualized investment advice.
Enter your Google email below for instant 1-step account activation, daily A–E stock rating alerts, and immediate access to your $100,000.00 Paper Trading Arena account.