MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why AQMS Stock dropped -2.06% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.43 -2.06% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.42
Aqua Metals Inc. (AQMS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $5.1M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.42 (-0.56%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AQMS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AQMS SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (25% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (25% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 23.7 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$2.03-16.3% Next Q
48
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$1.70-13.5% Next Q
45
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$1.47-2.7% Next Q
43
CurrentGrade D-$1.43-7.4% Hist 90D α
40
Trajectory: D (48) → D- (40)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AQMS Turnaround Squeeze
While AQMS currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.23) and Max Pain ($1.50) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.13.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AQMS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AQMS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why AQMS Stock dropped -2.06% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Aqua Metals Inc. (AQMS) dropped -2.06% to $1.43, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.27 – $8.7). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.27 – $8.7) with RSI-14 at 23.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.43 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live AQMS Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AQMS)
- ✓Walkthrough of AQMS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AQMS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -72.12%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $1.39H $1.45L $1.27C $1.43VOL 48.6K
RES: $2.24SUP: $-0.21SMA50: $2.23SMA200: $3.54
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
AQMS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AQMS today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AQMS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AQMS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AQMS)
Industrials Rank #379 of 485
⚔️ GWAV vs AQMS Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (AQMS vs. GWAV, HIHO, TPCS, AIOS)
Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aqua Metals Inc. (AQMS) ranks #379 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #460 by equity capitalization ($5.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AQMS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AIOS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.9% ROIC and 72.0% gross margin. AIOS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with AQMS at 40/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQMS
ACTIVE
Aqua Metals Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -2.06% | $5.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| GWAV Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -8.11% | $6.1M | /gwav-vs-aqms → |
| HIHO Highway Holdings Limited | D | 51/100 | — | 96.0% | — | +5.41% | $3.6M | /hiho-vs-aqms → |
| TPCS TechPrecision Corporation | E | 30/100 | — | 15.7% | -10.6% | +0.73% | $56.0M | /tpcs-vs-aqms → |
| AIOS AIOS Tech Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 54/100 | — | 72.0% | 29.9% | -0.95% | $77.6M | /aios-vs-aqms → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001621832In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Aqua Metals Inc. (AQMS) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$22.6M, operating cash flow of -$10.3M, and free cash flow of -$10.7M (+50.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, AQMS closed FY2025 with $19.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$22.6M | -$10.3M | -$10.7M | $19.7M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$24.6M | -$13.6M | -$21.6M | $26.4M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $25.0K | -$23.9M | -$3.2M | -$3.2M | — | — |
3. AQMS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs AQMS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Aqua Metals Inc. (NASDAQ: AQMS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $1.43 (-2.06% 1D, market cap $5.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, AQMS ranks #379 in composite RQD confidence.
How does AQMS compare to GWAV and HIHO in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), AQMS carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GWAV (Greenwave Technology Solutions Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $6.1M) and HIHO (Highway Holdings Limited) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AQMS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AIOS leads on capital efficiency (29.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AQMS?
Per AQMS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001621832), Aqua Metals Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$22.6M in net income, and -$10.7M in free cash flow against $19.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is AQMS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
AQMS last traded at $1.43 (-2.06% on volume of 24,301 shares), positioning the stock -35.87% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.23) and -59.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.54). Across its 52-week range of $1.27 to $8.70, AQMS sits at the 2.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 23.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.25 to $1.61).
AQMS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is AQMS stock moving today?
Why AQMS Stock dropped -2.06% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.