MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why AMBO Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.55 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.55
Ambow Education Holding Ltd. American Depository Shares (each representing twenty (20) ) (Class A) (AMBO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $4.4M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.55 (-0.19%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMBO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AMBO SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (27% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 26.9 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$1.85-5.4% Next Q
52
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$1.75-8% Next Q
49
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$1.61-3.7% Next Q
47
CurrentGrade D$1.55-6.5% Hist 90D α
44
Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AMBO Turnaround Squeeze
While AMBO currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.91) and Max Pain ($1.63) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.51.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AMBO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AMBO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why AMBO Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ambow Education Holding Ltd. American Depository Shares (each representing twenty (20) ) (Class A) (AMBO) slipped 0.00% to $1.55, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.47 – $5.25). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.47 – $5.25) with RSI-14 at 26.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4% around $1.55 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 54.8% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live AMBO Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 6h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AMBO)
- ✓Walkthrough of AMBO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AMBO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.61%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.56H $1.56L $1.52C $1.55VOL 900
RES: $2.14SUP: $1.47SMA50: $1.91SMA200: $2.19
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
AMBO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
3.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +0.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMBO today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMBO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMBO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMBO)
Real Estate Rank #36 of 51
⚔️ VSA vs AMBO Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (AMBO vs. VSA, ZCMD, WAFU, EEIQ)
Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ambow Education Holding Ltd. American Depository Shares (each representing twenty (20) ) (Class A) (AMBO) ranks #36 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #46 by equity capitalization ($4.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMBO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AMBO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.9% ROIC and 54.8% gross margin. ZCMD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with AMBO at 44/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMBO
ACTIVE
Ambow Education Holding Ltd. American Depository Shares (each representing twenty (20) ) (Class A) | D | 44/100 | — | 54.8% | 0.9% | 0.00% | $4.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| VSA VisionSys AI Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -1.41% | $4.9M | /vsa-vs-ambo → |
| ZCMD Zhongchao Inc. (Class A) | D | 47/100 | — | 45.0% | -35.0% | -0.90% | $4.9M | /zcmd-vs-ambo → |
| WAFU Wah Fu Education & Technology Group Ltd. | D- | 38/100 | — | 29.1% | — | -0.69% | $6.3M | /wafu-vs-ambo → |
| EEIQ EpicQuest Education Group International Limited | D | 44/100 | — | 66.3% | — | -4.67% | $6.9M | /eeiq-vs-ambo → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001494558In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ambow Education Holding Ltd. American Depository Shares (each representing twenty (20) ) (Class A) (AMBO) reported GAAP revenue of $9.5M (+0.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.4M , and +3.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.4M, operating cash flow of $137.0K, and free cash flow of -$463.0K (-206.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMBO closed FY2025 with $20.8M in total assets against $2.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $9.5M | $1.4M | $137.0K | -$463.0K | $20.8M | $2.7M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $9.4M | $309.0K | $1.6M | $435.0K | $17.4M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $9.2M | $0 | — | — | — | — |
3. AMBO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs AMBO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Ambow Education Holding Ltd. American Depository Shares (each representing twenty (20) ) (Class A) (NYSE: AMBO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $1.55 (0.00% 1D, market cap $4.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, AMBO ranks #36 in composite RQD confidence.
How does AMBO compare to VSA and ZCMD in the Real Estate sector?
Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), AMBO carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 54.8%, and ROIC of 0.9%. By comparison, VSA (VisionSys AI Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.9M) and ZCMD (Zhongchao Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMBO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AMBO leads on capital efficiency (0.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMBO?
Per AMBO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001494558), Ambow Education Holding Ltd. American Depository Shares (each representing twenty (20) ) (Class A) generated $9.5M in revenue (+0.8% YoY), $1.4M in net income, and -$463.0K in free cash flow against $20.8M in total assets and $2.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is AMBO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
AMBO last traded at $1.55 (0.00% on volume of 147 shares), positioning the stock -18.85% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.91) and -29.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.19). Across its 52-week range of $1.47 to $5.25, AMBO sits at the 2.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 26.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.0% ($1.49 to $1.61).
AMBO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is AMBO stock moving today?
Why AMBO Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.