Stock Ratings / Financials / ALX / forecast

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Alexander's Inc. (ALX) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$249.06 +0.46% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $249.86

Alexander's Inc. (ALX) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 26% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.27B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $249.86 (+0.32%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 34.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ALX SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 34.5% FCF Margin ($73.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 54% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 59.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$240.99-3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$233.66+6.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$248.39+0.3% Next Q

Current

Grade B$249.06+7.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ALX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, ALX faces multiple-compression risk if 45.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 45x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($250.50) or 200D SMA ($251.60) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($265.87) toward Bear Floor ($204.23).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ALX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 73%NO 27%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ALX Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $249.06: 40.2 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $204.23

$8,200

$-1,800 (-18.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $265.87

$10,675

+$675 (+6.7%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $313.73

$12,597

+$2,597 (+26.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	OUTPERFORM	$277	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$295	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$235	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ALX Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ALX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.15%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $250.8H $254.5L $247.3C $249.1VOL 80.0K

RES: $258.7SUP: $228.2SMA50: $250.5SMA200: $251.6

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ALX Butterfly Map → + Track ALX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

33.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALX)

Financials Rank #78 of 1096 ⚔️ UNIT vs ALX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ALX vs. UNIT, UMH, AAT, LADR)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alexander's Inc. (ALX) ranks #78 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #516 by equity capitalization ($1.27B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LADR leads on earnings valuation at 18.5x trailing P/E, while ALX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 25.9% ROIC and — gross margin. ALX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ALX ACTIVE Alexander's Inc.	B	73/100	45.1x	—	25.9%	+0.46%	$1.27B	Benchmark Subject
UNIT Uniti Group Inc.	D	50/100	—	—	2.1%	+5.97%	$1.25B	/unit-vs-alx →
UMH UMH Properties Inc.	C	62/100	—	—	0.7%	+1.54%	$1.30B	/umh-vs-alx →
AAT American Assets Trust Inc.	C-	61/100	—	—	11.3%	+3.19%	$1.37B	/aat-vs-alx →
LADR Ladder Capital Corp (Class A)	C	64/100	18.5x	—	4.3%	0.00%	$1.18B	/ladr-vs-alx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000003499

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alexander's Inc. (ALX) reported GAAP revenue of $213.2M (-5.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $226.4M , and -5.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $28.2M, operating cash flow of $73.4M, and free cash flow of $73.4M (+35.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALX closed FY2025 with $1.11B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$213.2M	$28.2M	$73.4M	$73.4M	$1.11B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$226.4M	$43.4M	$54.1M	$54.1M	$1.34B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$225.0M	$102.4M	$109.1M	$109.1M	—	—

3. ALX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Alexander's Inc. (NYSE: ALX) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $249.06 (+0.46% 1D, market cap $1.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ALX ranks #78 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALX compare to UNIT and UMH in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), ALX carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 45.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 25.9%. By comparison, UNIT (Uniti Group Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.1%, cap $1.25B) and UMH (UMH Properties Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $1.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LADR leads on earnings multiple (18.5x) while ALX leads on capital efficiency (25.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALX?

Per ALX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000003499), Alexander's Inc. generated $213.2M in revenue (-5.8% YoY), $28.2M in net income, and $73.4M in free cash flow against $1.11B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 45x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALX last traded at $249.06 (+0.46% on volume of 56,984 shares), positioning the stock -0.57% below its 50-day simple moving average ($250.50) and -1.01% below its 200-day simple moving average ($251.60). Across its 52-week range of $201.28 to $289.43, ALX sits at the 54.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.2% ($238.60 to $259.52).

ALX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ALX's 12-month stock price target?

Alexander's Inc. (ALX) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $265.87 (+6.7% from $249.06), with a bull-case target of $313.73 and a bear-case floor of $204.23.

Is ALX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates ALX B (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 73/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: ALX RQD Cockpit ALX 12M Forecast ALX Earnings & Move ALX Dividends & DRIP ALX Insiders & 13F ALX Whale Options ALX Profit Sankey ALX News & Why