MARKET WIREReuters • 50m ago
COMMENTARY: Asia's crude oil imports back to pre-war levels but refined fuels lag - ReutersCOMMENTARY: Asia's crude oil imports back to pre-war levels but refined fuels lag Reuters
Why ALTG Stock surged +2.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$7.60 +2.98% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.63
Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) (ALTG) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $248.3M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ALTG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: ALTG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $7.60 (+2.98% 1D, market cap $248.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ALTG ranks #279 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ALTG compare to CHPT and SERV in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ALTG carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 25.9%, and ROIC of 4.0%. By comparison, CHPT (ChargePoint Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $248.9M) and SERV (Serve Robotics Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $246.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALTG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ALTG leads on capital efficiency (4.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALTG?
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Per ALTG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001759824), Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) generated $1.84B in revenue (-2.2% YoY), -$80.3M in net income, and $23.8M in free cash flow against $1.34B in total assets and $484.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.63 (+0.35%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 1.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALTG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ALTG SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (25% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 76% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 65.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (21% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.3% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$6.34-6.3% Next Q
44
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$5.94+4.7% Next Q
47
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$6.22+22.2% Next Q
49
CurrentGrade D+$7.60-1.1% Hist 90D α
52
Trajectory: D (44) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALTG Turnaround Squeeze
While ALTG currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.22) and Max Pain ($7.98) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.12.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALTG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ALTG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ALTG Stock surged +2.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) (ALTG) surged +2.98% to $7.60, trading at 76% of its 52-week range ($4.16 – $8.69). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 76% of its 52-week range ($4.16 – $8.69) with RSI-14 at 65.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.3% around $7.60 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 25.9% gross margin and $23.8M annual free cash flow.
Live ALTG Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTReuters • 3h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Oil prices ease 3% on optimism for Qatari-led talks on ending Iran war - ReutersOil prices ease 3% on optimism for Qatari-led talks on ending Iran war Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 12h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 12h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALTG)
- ✓Walkthrough of ALTG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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ALTG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.94%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $7.43H $7.60L $7.17C $7.60VOL 149.8K
RES: $8.23SUP: $5.91SMA50: $6.22SMA200: $6.51
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ALTG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
22.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALTG today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALTG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALTG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALTG)
Industrials Rank #279 of 485
⚔️ CHPT vs ALTG Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ALTG vs. CHPT, SERV, MVST, ULBI)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) (ALTG) ranks #279 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #339 by equity capitalization ($248.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALTG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ALTG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.0% ROIC and 25.9% gross margin. ULBI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with ALTG at 52/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALTG
ACTIVE
Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 52/100 | — | 25.9% | 4.0% | +2.98% | $248.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| CHPT ChargePoint Holdings Inc. | E | 29/100 | — | 30.5% | -35.0% | +0.54% | $248.9M | /chpt-vs-altg → |
| SERV Serve Robotics Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | -5.96% | $246.2M | /serv-vs-altg → |
| MVST Microvast Holdings Inc. | D | 49/100 | — | 28.6% | 1.8% | +0.23% | $239.8M | /mvst-vs-altg → |
| ULBI Ultralife Corporation | D+ | 53/100 | — | 24.1% | -2.8% | +0.06% | $260.3M | /ulbi-vs-altg → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001759824In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) (ALTG) reported GAAP revenue of $1.84B (-2.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.88B , and -2.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$80.3M, operating cash flow of $33.0M, and free cash flow of $23.8M (-42.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALTG closed FY2025 with $1.34B in total assets against $484.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.49, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.84B | -$80.3M | $33.0M | $23.8M | $1.34B | $484.5M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.88B | -$62.1M | $57.0M | $41.6M | $1.48B | $480.0M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.88B | $8.9M | $58.4M | $58.4M | — | — |
3. ALTG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ALTG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: ALTG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $7.60 (+2.98% 1D, market cap $248.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ALTG ranks #279 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ALTG compare to CHPT and SERV in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ALTG carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 25.9%, and ROIC of 4.0%. By comparison, CHPT (ChargePoint Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $248.9M) and SERV (Serve Robotics Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $246.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALTG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ALTG leads on capital efficiency (4.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALTG?
Per ALTG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001759824), Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) generated $1.84B in revenue (-2.2% YoY), -$80.3M in net income, and $23.8M in free cash flow against $1.34B in total assets and $484.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ALTG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ALTG last traded at $7.60 (+2.98% on volume of 235,816 shares), positioning the stock +22.19% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.22) and +16.74% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.51). Across its 52-week range of $4.16 to $8.69, ALTG sits at the 75.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.3% ($6.74 to $8.46).
ALTG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ALTG stock moving today?
Why ALTG Stock surged +2.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.