Stock Ratings / Materials / ALOY / earnings

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REalloys Inc. (ALOY) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$7.17 -2.05% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

REalloys Inc. (ALOY) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $499.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

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SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALOY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.90 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ALOY Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 35/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (35/100)Model Risk Weight (65/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$2.4M	-$4.4M	-$3.2M	48%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$2.6M	-$3.5M	-$705.7K	44%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	-$4.7M	-$3.2M	48%

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALOY)

✓Walkthrough of ALOY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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ALOY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.49%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $6.80H $7.17L $6.52C $7.17VOL 2.20M

RES: $7.70SUP: $5.74SMA50: $8.54SMA200: $11.09

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALOY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ALOY Butterfly Map → + Track ALOY →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALOY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALOY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

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DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALOY)

Materials Rank #238 of 270 ⚔️ NB vs ALOY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ALOY vs. NB, THM, WRN, LAR)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, REalloys Inc. (ALOY) ranks #238 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #173 by equity capitalization ($499.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, THM leads on earnings valuation at 115.1x trailing P/E, while THM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and — gross margin. LAR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with ALOY at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ALOY ACTIVE REalloys Inc.	D-	35/100	—	48.0%	-8.8%	-2.05%	$499.5M	Benchmark Subject
NB NioCorp Developments Ltd.	D-	38/100	—	—	-5.6%	+1.43%	$519.2M	/nb-vs-aloy →
THM International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada)	D-	36/100	115.1x	—	8.2%	-0.97%	$533.7M	/thm-vs-aloy →
WRN Western Copper and Gold Corporation	D	49/100	—	—	—	-4.49%	$384.5M	/wrn-vs-aloy →
LAR Lithium Argentina AG	D	50/100	—	—	—	-1.98%	$730.2M	/lar-vs-aloy →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001567900

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), REalloys Inc. (ALOY) reported GAAP revenue of $2.4M (-5.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.6M ) , GAAP net income of -$4.4M, operating cash flow of -$3.2M, and free cash flow of -$3.2M (-347.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALOY closed FY2025 with $93.4M in total assets against $154.0K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.42, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.4M	-$4.4M	-$3.2M	-$3.2M	$93.4M	$154.0K
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.6M	-$3.5M	-$705.7K	-$705.7K	$9.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$4.7M	-$3.2M	-$3.2M	—	—

3. ALOY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALOY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, REalloys Inc. (NASDAQ: ALOY) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $7.17 (-2.05% 1D, market cap $499.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ALOY ranks #238 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALOY compare to NB and THM in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), ALOY carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 48.0%, and ROIC of -8.8%. By comparison, NB (NioCorp Developments Ltd.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.6%, cap $519.2M) and THM (International Tower Hill Mines Ltd. (Canada)) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 115.1x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $533.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, THM leads on earnings multiple (115.1x) while THM leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALOY?

Per ALOY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001567900), REalloys Inc. generated $2.4M in revenue (-5.3% YoY), -$4.4M in net income, and -$3.2M in free cash flow against $93.4M in total assets and $154.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALOY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALOY last traded at $7.17 (-2.05% on volume of 1,343,552 shares), positioning the stock -16.04% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.54) and -35.35% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.09). Across its 52-week range of $5.91 to $26.90, ALOY sits at the 6.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.27 to $8.07).