Stock Ratings / Health Care / ALMR / earnings

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Alamar Biosciences Inc. (ALMR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$34.04 -0.76% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.93

Alamar Biosciences Inc. (ALMR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.36B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.93 (-0.33%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 1.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALMR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ALMR SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.7% FCF Margin ($66.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$25.27+0% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$25.28+21.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$30.69+10.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D$34.04-5.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (40) → D (48)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALMR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ALMR currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($30.65) and Max Pain ($35.74) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $41.59.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALMR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ALMR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$4.25 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ALMR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 48/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (48/100)Model Risk Weight (52/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$0	$0	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALMR)

✓Walkthrough of ALMR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ALMR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +35.94%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $33.35H $34.04L $29.36C $34.04VOL 740.0K

RES: $40.10SUP: $23.49SMA50: $30.65SMA200: $26.93

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALMR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ALMR Butterfly Map → + Track ALMR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALMR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALMR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALMR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALMR)

Health Care Rank #378 of 1016 ⚔️ PACB vs ALMR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ALMR vs. PACB, CTKB, BRKR, BIO)

Industry: Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alamar Biosciences Inc. (ALMR) ranks #378 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #230 by equity capitalization ($2.36B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BIO leads on earnings valuation at 13.5x trailing P/E, while BRKR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.3% ROIC and 45.9% gross margin. BIO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with ALMR at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ALMR ACTIVE Alamar Biosciences Inc.	D	48/100	—	—	—	-0.76%	$2.36B	Benchmark Subject
PACB Pacific Biosciences of California Inc.	D-	37/100	—	28.6%	-35.0%	+2.47%	$901.4M	/pacb-vs-almr →
CTKB Cytek Biosciences Inc.	D-	41/100	—	51.8%	-12.7%	+2.61%	$818.9M	/ctkb-vs-almr →
BRKR Bruker Corporation	C-	59/100	—	45.9%	1.3%	0.00%	$9.45B	/brkr-vs-almr →
BIO Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc.	C+	66/100	13.5x	51.9%	0.5%	-0.19%	$10.28B	/bio-vs-almr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002104204

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alamar Biosciences Inc. (ALMR) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, ALMR closed FY2025 with $140.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$140.0M	—

3. ALMR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALMR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Alamar Biosciences Inc. (NASDAQ: ALMR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $34.04 (-0.76% 1D, market cap $2.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ALMR ranks #378 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALMR compare to PACB and CTKB in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments), ALMR carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, PACB (Pacific Biosciences of California Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $901.4M) and CTKB (Cytek Biosciences Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.7%, cap $818.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BIO leads on earnings multiple (13.5x) while BRKR leads on capital efficiency (1.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALMR?

Per ALMR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002104204), Alamar Biosciences Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $140.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALMR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALMR last traded at $34.04 (-0.76% on volume of 496,166 shares), positioning the stock +11.06% above its 50-day simple moving average ($30.65) and +26.40% above its 200-day simple moving average ($26.93). Across its 52-week range of $18.85 to $39.61, ALMR sits at the 73.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($29.79 to $38.29).

ALMR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ALMR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Alamar Biosciences Inc. (ALMR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is ALMR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for ALMR, spanning a range between $29.79 and $38.29.

Direct Sub-Reports: ALMR RQD Cockpit ALMR 12M Forecast ALMR Earnings & Move ALMR Dividends & DRIP ALMR Insiders & 13F ALMR Whale Options ALMR Profit Sankey ALMR News & Why