CATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 1d ago
Buy Almonty: This Tungsten Champion Is A Potential WinnerAlmonty Industries is positioned to become the largest Western-aligned tungsten producer as China tightens export controls. Read why ALM stock is a strong buy
Why ALM Stock slipped -0.96% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$9.30 -0.96% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.27
Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $2.68B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.27 (-0.36%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ALM SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (26% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 20% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 30.4 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B-$11.87-17.2% Next Q
66
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$9.83-10% Next Q
63
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$8.85+5.1% Next Q
61
CurrentGrade D+$9.30+0% Hist 90D α
58
Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ALM Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, ALM faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.58) or 200D SMA ($15.83) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($9.30) toward Bear Floor ($7.25).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ALM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ALM Stock slipped -0.96% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) slipped -0.96% to $9.30, trading at 20% of its 52-week range ($5.44 – $24.41). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 20% of its 52-week range ($5.44 – $24.41) with RSI-14 at 30.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $9.30 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $75.1M annual free cash flow.
Live ALM Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. (IVPAF) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Q3 ReleaseIvanhoe Mines Ltd. (IVPAF) possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 5d ago
B. Riley Securities Maintains Buy on Almonty Indus, Lowers Price Target to $20B. Riley Securities analyst Nick Giles maintains Almonty Indus (NASDAQ:ALM) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $25 to $20.
CATALYSTYahoo • 6d ago
Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) to Report Q3 Results: Wall Street Expects Earnings GrowthAlmonty Industries Inc. (ALM) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 11d ago
Diamond Equity Research Releases Update Note on Almonty Industries, Inc. (Nasdaq: ALM; Frankfurt: ALI1)New York, Oct. 21, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Diamond Equity Research, an equity research firm with a focus on small capitalization public companies has released an Update Note on Almonty Industries, Inc. (Nasdaq: ALM; Fra
MARKET WIREYahoo • 11d ago
Almonty Industries (ALM) Stock May Be A Bargain After Sangdong CertificationAlmonty Industries has delivered a very large 3 year share price gain, yet the recent pullback and fresh mine milestones leave a clear question for investors about whether the current price is still supported by its earn
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 13d ago
Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) Analyst/Investor Day Prepared Remarks TranscriptAlmonty Industries Inc. (ALM) Analyst/Investor Day October 19, 2026 9:00 AM EDTCompany ParticipantsM.
CATALYSTBenzinga • 13d ago
Stock Market Today: Nasdaq 100 Rises as AI Chip Rout Reverses, SanDisk Jumps 7%Tech rebounded from last week's rout as chip stocks bounced and steel maker Cleveland-Cliffs soared on earnings, while the 10-year yield climbed to 5.14%.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALM)
- ✓Walkthrough of ALM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ALM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -57.10%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $8.74H $9.30L $8.43C $9.30VOL 5.57M
RES: $18.10SUP: $8.20SMA50: $13.58SMA200: $15.83
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ALM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALM today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALM)
Materials Rank #76 of 270
⚔️ DNN vs ALM Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ALM vs. DNN, UEC, NXE, IPX)
Industry: Other Metals and Minerals (11 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) ranks #76 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #100 by equity capitalization ($2.68B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NXE leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while NXE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. ALM currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 58/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALM
ACTIVE
Almonty Industries Inc. | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -0.96% | $2.68B | Benchmark Subject |
| DNN Denison Mines Corp (Canada) | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | -1.25% | $2.15B | /dnn-vs-alm → |
| UEC Uranium Energy Corp. | D- | 40/100 | — | 36.6% | -5.9% | -2.28% | $4.04B | /uec-vs-alm → |
| NXE Nexgen Energy Ltd. | D+ | 53/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -3.24% | $5.80B | /nxe-vs-alm → |
| IPX IperionX Limited | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | +9.30% | $578.3M | /ipx-vs-alm → |
2. ALM Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTAlmonty Industries Inc. (ALM) operates in Other Metals and Minerals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $2.68B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. ALM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ALM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Almonty Industries Inc. (NASDAQ: ALM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $9.30 (-0.96% 1D, market cap $2.68B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ALM ranks #76 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ALM compare to DNN and UEC in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Other Metals and Minerals), ALM carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, DNN (Denison Mines Corp (Canada)) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.15B) and UEC (Uranium Energy Corp.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.9%, cap $4.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NXE leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while NXE leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALM?
For Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #76 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ALM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ALM last traded at $9.30 (-0.96% on volume of 4,160,278 shares), positioning the stock -31.52% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.58) and -41.25% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.83). Across its 52-week range of $5.44 to $24.41, ALM sits at the 20.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.14 to $10.46).
ALM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ALM stock moving today?
Why ALM Stock slipped -0.96% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.