Alignment Healthcare stock has been hit hard over the past few years, and with earnings now under a brighter spotlight, investors are asking whether the current valuation still lines up with the story they thought they o
Why ALHC Stock slipped -1.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Alignment Healthcare Inc. (ALHC) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
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Is ALHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Alignment Healthcare Inc. (NASDAQ: ALHC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $8.06 (-1.47% 1D, market cap $1.67B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ALHC ranks #120 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does ALHC compare to PSNL and FRNM in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical Specialities), ALHC carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.9%. By comparison, PSNL (Personalis Inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.70B) and FRNM (Freenome Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.4%, cap $1.38B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRUP leads on earnings multiple (68.2x) while ALHC leads on capital efficiency (13.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALHC?
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Per ALHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001832466), Alignment Healthcare Inc. generated $3.95B in revenue (+46.1% YoY), -$724.0K in net income, and $113.1M in free cash flow against $1.07B in total assets and $323.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.9% FCF Margin ($113.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ALHC Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, ALHC faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($9.87) or 200D SMA ($16.81) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($8.39) toward Bear Floor ($6.54).
Why ALHC Stock slipped -1.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Alignment Healthcare Inc. (ALHC) slipped -1.47% to $8.06, trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($6.01 – $25.12). Solid steady margins (14% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($6.01 – $25.12) with RSI-14 at 31.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $8.06 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $113.1M annual free cash flow.
Health insurance company Alignment Healthcare (NASDAQ:ALHC) beat Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q3 2026, with sales up 36.7% year on year to $1.36 billion. Revenue guidance for the full year exceeded analysts’ est
Alignment Healthcare (ALHC) just released its third quarter 2026 report, pairing revenue of about US$1.36b with a net loss of US$8.05m, along with updated guidance that lifts full year sales expectations. The short-term
Alignment Healthcare (NasdaqGS:ALHC) saw its California HMO plan Star Rating downgraded by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, removing eligibility for quality bonus payments. The loss of quality bonus payments
JP Morgan analyst John Stansel maintains Alignment Healthcare (NASDAQ:ALHC) with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $10 to $8.
Revenue surged 36.7% but profitability guidance fell as medical costs climbed.
Moby summary of Alignment Healthcare, Inc.'s Q3 2026 earnings call
Barclays analyst Andrew Mok maintains Alignment Healthcare (NASDAQ:ALHC) with a Equal-Weight and lowers the price target from $10 to $9.
U.S. futures fell as Pinterest missed Q3 estimates and cut guidance; Intel, ATEC, Reddit, Roblox and others slid sharply premarket.
Keybanc analyst Matthew Gillmor downgrades Alignment Healthcare (NASDAQ:ALHC) from Overweight to Sector Weight.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ALHC Tape Review)
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ALHC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +46.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALHC today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALHC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALHC)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ALHC vs. PSNL, FRNM, TRUP, FTRE)
Industry: Medical Specialities (41 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alignment Healthcare Inc. (ALHC) ranks #120 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #291 by equity capitalization ($1.67B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRUP leads on earnings valuation at 68.2x trailing P/E, while ALHC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.9% ROIC and — gross margin. ALHC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALHC
ACTIVE
Alignment Healthcare Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | — | — | 13.9% | -1.47% | $1.67B | Benchmark Subject |
| PSNL Personalis Inc. | D- | 36/100 | — | 22.7% | -35.0% | -0.47% | $1.70B | /psnl-vs-alhc → |
| FRNM Freenome Inc. | E | 31/100 | — | — | -3.4% | -4.32% | $1.38B | /frnm-vs-alhc → |
| TRUP Trupanion Inc. | C | 64/100 | 68.2x | 16.1% | 3.1% | +2.27% | $1.32B | /trup-vs-alhc → |
| FTRE Fortrea Holdings Inc. | D- | 35/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -10.61% | $2.20B | /ftre-vs-alhc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001832466In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alignment Healthcare Inc. (ALHC) reported GAAP revenue of $3.95B (+46.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.70B , and +119.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$724.0K, operating cash flow of $139.9M, and free cash flow of $113.1M (+1802.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALHC closed FY2025 with $1.07B in total assets against $323.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.00, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $3.95B | -$724.0K | $139.9M | $113.1M | $1.07B | $323.2M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.70B | -$128.0M | $34.8M | -$6.6M | $782.1M | $321.4M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.80B | -$148.0M | -$59.2M | -$59.2M | — | — |
3. ALHC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ALHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Alignment Healthcare Inc. (NASDAQ: ALHC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $8.06 (-1.47% 1D, market cap $1.67B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ALHC ranks #120 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ALHC compare to PSNL and FRNM in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Medical Specialities), ALHC carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.9%. By comparison, PSNL (Personalis Inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.70B) and FRNM (Freenome Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.4%, cap $1.38B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRUP leads on earnings multiple (68.2x) while ALHC leads on capital efficiency (13.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALHC?
Per ALHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001832466), Alignment Healthcare Inc. generated $3.95B in revenue (+46.1% YoY), -$724.0K in net income, and $113.1M in free cash flow against $1.07B in total assets and $323.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ALHC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ALHC last traded at $8.06 (-1.47% on volume of 13,586,844 shares), positioning the stock -18.34% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.87) and -52.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.81). Across its 52-week range of $6.01 to $25.12, ALHC sits at the 10.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.05 to $9.07).
ALHC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ALHC stock moving today?
Why ALHC Stock slipped -1.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (14% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.