Stock Ratings / Technology / ALAB / earnings

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Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$290.43 -2.28% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $50.39B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALAB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$36.30 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ALAB Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 68/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 115.1%

Model Bullish Setup (68/100)Model Risk Weight (32/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$852.5M	$219.1M	$281.8M	75.7%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$396.3M	-$83.4M	$102.4M	76.4%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$115.8M	-$26.3M	-$17.9M	75.7%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ALAB & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ALAB
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ALAB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +44.31%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-01O $297.2H $297.2L $290.4C $290.4VOL 3.10M

RES: $416.4SUP: $129.5SMA50: $308.2SMA200: $255.8

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALAB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ALAB Butterfly Map → + Track ALAB →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +115.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALAB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALAB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALAB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALAB)

Technology Rank #88 of 241 ⚔️ UMC vs ALAB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ALAB vs. UMC, STM, MCHP, MPWR)

Industry: Semiconductors (45 Tracked Issuers)

Across 241 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) ranks #88 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #63 by equity capitalization ($50.39B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UMC leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while UMC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.9% ROIC and — gross margin. ALAB currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ALAB ACTIVE Astera Labs Inc.	C+	68/100	—	75.7%	3.4%	-2.28%	$50.39B	Benchmark Subject
UMC United Microelectronics Corporation	C	65/100	21.7x	—	14.9%	-4.14%	$45.42B	/umc-vs-alab →
STM STMicroelectronics N.V.	D+	56/100	—	33.9%	0.8%	+3.03%	$44.62B	/stm-vs-alab →
MCHP Microchip Technology Incorporated	C+	68/100	—	57.7%	3.3%	+1.87%	$44.05B	/mchp-vs-alab →
MPWR Monolithic Power Systems Inc.	C-	61/100	94.8x	55.2%	12.2%	-1.02%	$58.91B	/mpwr-vs-alab →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001736297

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) reported GAAP revenue of $852.5M (+115.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $396.3M , and +636.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $219.1M, operating cash flow of $319.3M, and free cash flow of $281.8M (+175.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALAB closed FY2025 with $1.53B in total assets against $75.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$852.5M	$219.1M	$319.3M	$281.8M	$1.53B	$75.7M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$396.3M	-$83.4M	$136.7M	$102.4M	$1.05B	$40.4M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$115.8M	-$26.3M	-$12.7M	-$17.9M	$27.71B	$6.48B

3. ALAB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALAB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Astera Labs Inc. (NASDAQ: ALAB) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $290.43 (-2.28% 1D, market cap $50.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 241 tracked Technology issuers, ALAB ranks #88 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALAB compare to UMC and STM in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ALAB carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 75.7%, and ROIC of 3.4%. By comparison, UMC (United Microelectronics Corporation) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $45.42B) and STM (STMicroelectronics N.V.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.8%, cap $44.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UMC leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while UMC leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALAB?

Per ALAB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001736297), Astera Labs Inc. generated $852.5M in revenue (+115.1% YoY), $219.1M in net income, and $281.8M in free cash flow against $1.53B in total assets and $75.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALAB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALAB last traded at $290.43 (-2.28% on volume of 3,097,036 shares), positioning the stock -5.77% below its 50-day simple moving average ($308.23) and +13.53% above its 200-day simple moving average ($255.82). Across its 52-week range of $97.89 to $499.48, ALAB sits at the 47.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($254.13 to $326.73).

ALAB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ALAB's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is ALAB stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for ALAB, spanning a range between $254.13 and $326.73.

Direct Sub-Reports: ALAB RQD Cockpit ALAB 12M Forecast ALAB Earnings & Move ALAB Dividends & DRIP ALAB Insiders & 13F ALAB Whale Options ALAB Profit Sankey ALAB News & Why