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reAlpha Tech Corp. (AIRE) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: What is AIRE's 12-month stock price target?

reAlpha Tech Corp. (AIRE) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $0.66 (-8.3% from $0.72), with a bull-case target of $17.01 and a bear-case floor of $0.51.

Q: Is AIRE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates AIRE D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 39/100.

$0.72 -3.34% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.71

reAlpha Tech Corp. (AIRE) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $4.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.71 (-0.79%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AIRE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AIRE SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (31% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.12-11.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$0.99+0% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$0.99-27.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$0.72-7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AIRE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AIRE currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.28) and Max Pain ($0.76) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.01.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AIRE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AIRE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your AIRE Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $0.72: 13888.9 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.51

$7,083

$-2,917 (-29.2%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $0.66

$9,167

$-833 (-8.3%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $17.01

$236,250

+$226,250 (+2262.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$1	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$16	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$1	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AIRE)

✓Walkthrough of AIRE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AIRE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -76.55%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $0.74H $0.76L $0.67C $0.72VOL 66.9K

RES: $1.32SUP: $0.26SMA50: $1.28SMA200: $3.91

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AIRE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AIRE Butterfly Map → + Track AIRE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AIRE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AIRE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AIRE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AIRE)

Financials Rank #1001 of 1096 ⚔️ CWD vs AIRE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AIRE vs. CWD, OMH, OPAD, PETZ)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, reAlpha Tech Corp. (AIRE) ranks #1001 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #1083 by equity capitalization ($4.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PETZ leads on earnings valuation at 7.1x trailing P/E, while PETZ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -12.6% ROIC and — gross margin. OPAD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with AIRE at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AIRE ACTIVE reAlpha Tech Corp.	D-	39/100	—	—	-35.0%	-3.34%	$4.3M	Benchmark Subject
CWD CaliberCos Inc. (Class A)	D-	39/100	—	—	-35.0%	+4.00%	$4.6M	/cwd-vs-aire →
OMH Ohmyhome Limited (Class A)	D-	39/100	—	—	-35.0%	+3.04%	$5.9M	/omh-vs-aire →
OPAD Offerpad Solutions Inc. (Class A)	D	46/100	—	—	-35.0%	-7.02%	$10.9M	/opad-vs-aire →
PETZ TDH Holdings Inc.	E	34/100	7.1x	—	-12.6%	0.00%	$12.7M	/petz-vs-aire →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001859199

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), reAlpha Tech Corp. (AIRE) reported GAAP revenue of $4.5M (+376.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $948.4K ) , GAAP net income of -$17.6M, operating cash flow of -$11.3M, and free cash flow of -$11.3M (-86.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, AIRE closed FY2025 with $21.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$4.5M	-$17.6M	-$11.3M	-$11.3M	$21.7M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$948.4K	-$26.0M	-$6.0M	-$6.1M	$12.0M	—

3. AIRE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AIRE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, reAlpha Tech Corp. (NASDAQ: AIRE) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $0.72 (-3.34% 1D, market cap $4.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AIRE ranks #1001 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AIRE compare to CWD and OMH in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), AIRE carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CWD (CaliberCos Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.6M) and OMH (Ohmyhome Limited (Class A)) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $5.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PETZ leads on earnings multiple (7.1x) while PETZ leads on capital efficiency (-12.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIRE?

Per AIRE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001859199), reAlpha Tech Corp. generated $4.5M in revenue (+376.4% YoY), -$17.6M in net income, and -$11.3M in free cash flow against $21.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AIRE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AIRE last traded at $0.72 (-3.34% on volume of 33,007 shares), positioning the stock -43.75% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.28) and -81.59% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.91). Across its 52-week range of $0.67 to $16.20, AIRE sits at the 0.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.81).

AIRE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is AIRE's 12-month stock price target?

reAlpha Tech Corp. (AIRE) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $0.66 (-8.3% from $0.72), with a bull-case target of $17.01 and a bear-case floor of $0.51.

Is AIRE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates AIRE D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 39/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: AIRE RQD Cockpit AIRE 12M Forecast AIRE Earnings & Move AIRE Dividends & DRIP AIRE Insiders & 13F AIRE Whale Options AIRE Profit Sankey AIRE News & Why