Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) (AIIO) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$0.61 -11.24% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.60

Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) (AIIO) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 24/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $161.2M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) (NASDAQ: AIIO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $0.61 (-11.24% 1D, market cap $161.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AIIO ranks #955 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AIIO compare to NIU and LOT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), AIIO carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 62.5%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, NIU (Niu Technologies) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $147.5M) and LOT (Lotus Technology Inc.) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $274.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AIIO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AIIO leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIIO?
β–Ό

Per AIIO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001932737), Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) generated $950.0K in revenue (-92.1% YoY), -$167.3M in net income, and -$5.1M in free cash flow against $8.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.60 (-2.21%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510024
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.8% Base Target
$22 Bull$1 Base$0 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE AIIO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AIIO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (24/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY AIIO SCORES 24/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 3/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 59.4% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
32
Grade E$0.86-14% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
29
Grade E$0.74-21.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
27
Grade E$0.58+5.2% Next Q
Current
24
Grade E$0.61-10.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (32) β†’ E (24)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AIIO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While AIIO currently carries a cautious 24/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.37) and Max Pain ($0.64) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $21.63.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AIIOβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAIIO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AIIO)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for AIIO.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AIIO)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of AIIO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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AIIO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.61%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $0.71H $0.71L $0.61C $0.61VOL 490.8K
SUP: $0.42SMA50: $1.37SMA200: $2.42
$15.16$11.19$7.23$3.27$-0.69SUP $0.42$0.612026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AIIO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -65.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AIIO today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AIIO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AIIO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AIIO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #955 of 1011 βš”οΈ NIU vs AIIO Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AIIO vs. NIU, LOT, EMPD, SEV)

Industry: Auto Manufacturing (28 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) (AIIO) ranks #955 by composite RQD confidence (24/100, grade E) and #720 by equity capitalization ($161.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AIIO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AIIO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 62.5% gross margin. NIU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 38/100 (D-) compared with AIIO at 24/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AIIO ACTIVE
Robo.ai Inc. (Class B)
E 24/100 β€” 62.5% -35.0% -11.24% $161.2M Benchmark Subject
NIU
Niu Technologies
D- 38/100 β€” 19.6% -35.0% -4.25% $147.5M /niu-vs-aiio β†’
LOT
Lotus Technology Inc.
E 22/100 β€” 8.7% -35.0% -8.18% $274.8M /lot-vs-aiio β†’
EMPD
Empery Digital Inc.
E 21/100 β€” -30.0% -35.0% -6.27% $85.2M /empd-vs-aiio β†’
SEV
Aptera Motors Corp. (Class B)
E 33/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -1.20% $68.4M /sev-vs-aiio β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001932737

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) (AIIO) reported GAAP revenue of $950.0K (-92.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $12.0M , and -97.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$167.3M, operating cash flow of -$5.1M, and free cash flow of -$5.1M (-115.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, AIIO closed FY2025 with $8.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $950.0K -$167.3M -$5.1M -$5.1M $8.4M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $12.0M -$172.5M $33.6M $33.4M $41.5M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $37.3M -$265.3M -$138.0M -$138.0M β€” β€”

3. AIIO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AIIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) (NASDAQ: AIIO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $0.61 (-11.24% 1D, market cap $161.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AIIO ranks #955 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AIIO compare to NIU and LOT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), AIIO carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 62.5%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, NIU (Niu Technologies) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $147.5M) and LOT (Lotus Technology Inc.) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $274.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AIIO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AIIO leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIIO?

Per AIIO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001932737), Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) generated $950.0K in revenue (-92.1% YoY), -$167.3M in net income, and -$5.1M in free cash flow against $8.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AIIO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AIIO last traded at $0.61 (-11.24% on volume of 448,874 shares), positioning the stock -55.47% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.37) and -74.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.42). Across its 52-week range of $0.54 to $20.60, AIIO sits at the 0.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.69).

AIIO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is AIIO's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for AIIO.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 24/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AIIO β€” Robo.ai Inc. (Class B): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: Haiku 5.5 Dossier Pipeline
As of: 2026-11-02T14:19Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD 5-pillar rating engine, Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) (AIIO) carries a composite score of 24/100 (E β€” Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) at a current price of $0.61 (-11.24%). Fundamental cash generation scores 5/20 (ROIC -35.0%, FCF yield -3.14%), institutional 13F whale accumulation scores 3/20, insider conviction scores 3/20, macro regime alignment scores 5/20 (Beta 1.00), and forensic balance-sheet protection scores 8/20 (Altman Z-Score N/A, Piotroski F-Score 3/9).

Investor Implication: At current trailing P/E and current forward P/E within Auto Manufacturing, upside depends on sustained operating margin expansion (-60.0%) and free cash flow conversion relative to the 52-week range of $0.54 – $20.60.

Butterfly Effect: Supply-Chain, Sector & Catalyst Ripples

Operating in Auto Manufacturing (Consumer Discretionary), AIIO is sensitive to 2nd-order capital expenditure cycles, input cost spreads (gross margin 62.5%), and institutional positioning across its peer cohort. Prospective investors should monitor quarterly order backlog conversion, sector capex guidance, and Form 4 insider cluster activity (0 recent filings tracked).

Open Questions to Watch: (1) Margin trajectory vs. peer median; (2) FCF conversion sustainability over the next 4 quarters; (3) Institutional 13F rebalancing around upcoming earnings.

AIIO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) (AIIO) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to AIIO Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AIIO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $0.61?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AIIO 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AIIO:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.60 (-11.8%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AIIO (E β€’ RQD 24/100) a Buy at $0.68?

Welcome to the AIIO (Robo.ai Inc. (Class B)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 24/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Auto Manufacturing. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.54 (-20.6%)
Spot @ $0.68

Pump the brakes on AIIO β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AIIO, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 62.5% gross margins. Unless Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.80 (+17.6%)
Spot @ $0.68

AIIO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AIIO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Auto Manufacturing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.68 (52-wk range $0.54 - $20.60), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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