Agilysys Inc. (AGYS) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.6% Move

$115.86 +0.63% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $116.27

Agilysys Inc. (AGYS) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (63% profit margin, 15% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $3.27B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $116.27 (+0.35%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 21.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510071
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B+
Cash (16)Whales (13)SEC (14)Macro (17)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target
$145 Bull$123 Base$95 Bear
📬 FREE AGYS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AGYS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AGYS SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 76% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 57.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 21.9% FCF Margin ($70.0M FCF) & 62.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$105.03+4.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$109.90+9.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$120.69-4% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$115.86+6.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AGYS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, AGYS faces multiple-compression risk if 84.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 84x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 60.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($108.50) or 200D SMA ($91.83) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($122.64) toward Bear Floor ($95.01).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AGYS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AGYS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.6% Swing Band

±$9.96 Expected Swing
$105.90 (-8.6%)Spot $115.86$125.82 (+8.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AGYS Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 71/100

Trailing EPS: $1.37 • YoY Revenue Growth: 15.9%

Model Bullish Setup (71/100)Model Risk Weight (29/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-03-31$319.3M$38.8M$70.0M62.6%
FY 20242025-03-31$275.6M$23.2M$55.1M62.4%
FY 20232024-03-31$237.5M$86.2M$48.2M62.6%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating AGYS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on AGYS
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
AGYS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +80.86%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $117.1H $118.4L $114.0C $115.9VOL 268.7K
RES: $126.4SUP: $92.96SMA50: $108.5SMA200: $91.83
$130.5$112.0$93.52$75.05$56.58RES $126.4SUP $92.96$115.92026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AGYS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AGYS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AGYS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AGYS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AGYS)

Technology Rank #94 of 714 ⚔️ KD vs AGYS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (AGYS vs. KD, FA, CARG, LIF)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Agilysys Inc. (AGYS) ranks #94 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #244 by equity capitalization ($3.27B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CARG leads on earnings valuation at 18.6x trailing P/E, while CARG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 92.8% gross margin. CARG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 90/100 (A) compared with AGYS at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AGYS ACTIVE
Agilysys Inc.
B- 71/100 84.3x 62.6% 14.7% +0.63% $3.27B Benchmark Subject
KD
Kyndryl Holdings Inc.
D 51/100 — 21.8% — -1.06% $3.04B /kd-vs-agys →
FA
First Advantage Corporation
D 47/100 — — 3.3% -0.14% $3.60B /fa-vs-agys →
CARG
CarGurus Inc. (Class A)
A 90/100 18.6x 92.8% 85.0% +3.77% $2.89B /carg-vs-agys →
LIF
Life360 Inc.
C+ 67/100 24.6x 77.8% 8.0% +2.90% $3.71B /lif-vs-agys →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0000078749

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Agilysys Inc. (AGYS) reported GAAP revenue of $319.3M (+15.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $275.6M , and +34.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $38.8M, operating cash flow of $70.0M, and free cash flow of $70.0M (+27.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, AGYS closed FY2025 with $475.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $319.3M $38.8M $70.0M $70.0M $475.2M $0
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $275.6M $23.2M $55.1M $55.1M $443.9M $38.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $237.5M $86.2M $48.2M $48.2M — —

3. AGYS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AGYS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Agilysys Inc. (NASDAQ: AGYS) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $115.86 (+0.63% 1D, market cap $3.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, AGYS ranks #94 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AGYS compare to KD and FA in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), AGYS carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 84.3x, gross margin of 62.6%, and ROIC of 14.7%. By comparison, KD (Kyndryl Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.04B) and FA (First Advantage Corporation) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.3%, cap $3.60B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CARG leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while CARG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGYS?

Per AGYS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000078749), Agilysys Inc. generated $319.3M in revenue (+15.9% YoY), $38.8M in net income, and $70.0M in free cash flow against $475.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (63% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 84x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AGYS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AGYS last traded at $115.86 (+0.63% on volume of 226,514 shares), positioning the stock +6.78% above its 50-day simple moving average ($108.50) and +26.17% above its 200-day simple moving average ($91.83). Across its 52-week range of $61.50 to $133.32, AGYS sits at the 75.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($105.90 to $125.82).

AGYS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is AGYS's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Agilysys Inc. (AGYS)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is AGYS stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.6% event move for AGYS, spanning a range between $105.9 and $125.82.

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