MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why AFRI Stock slipped -0.08% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$12.63 -0.08% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.60
Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 21/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $340.6M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.60 (-0.20%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (21/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AFRI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (21/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AFRI SCORES 21/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (43% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.8% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+7/20 pts (33% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 82% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 62 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$12.72-6.9% Next Q
29
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$11.84-0.2% Next Q
26
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$11.82+6.9% Next Q
24
CurrentGrade E$12.63-11.6% Hist 90D α
21
Trajectory: E (29) → E (21)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AFRI Turnaround Squeeze
While AFRI currently carries a cautious 21/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.50) and Max Pain ($13.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.15.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AFRI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AFRI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why AFRI Stock slipped -0.08% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) slipped -0.08% to $12.63, trading at 82% of its 52-week range ($8.63 – $13.48). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-17% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 82% of its 52-week range ($8.63 – $13.48) with RSI-14 at 62 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.8% around $12.63 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 10.4% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live AFRI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 7h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AFRI)
- ✓Walkthrough of AFRI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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AFRI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +26.30%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $12.49H $12.88L $12.48C $12.63VOL 11.6K
RES: $13.99SUP: $11.12SMA50: $11.50SMA200: $10.41
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
AFRI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -35.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AFRI today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AFRI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AFRI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AFRI)
Consumer Staples Rank #145 of 146
⚔️ LWAY vs AFRI Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (AFRI vs. LWAY, VITL, OTLY, BGS)
Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) ranks #145 by composite RQD confidence (21/100, grade E) and #90 by equity capitalization ($340.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VITL leads on earnings valuation at 6.0x trailing P/E, while VITL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.1% ROIC and 37.6% gross margin. LWAY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with AFRI at 21/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFRI
ACTIVE
Forafric Global PLC | E | 21/100 | — | 10.4% | -16.5% | -0.08% | $340.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| LWAY Lifeway Foods Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 25.3x | 27.4% | 15.9% | +1.84% | $350.8M | /lway-vs-afri → |
| VITL Vital Farms Inc. | D | 48/100 | 6.0x | 37.6% | 23.1% | +0.43% | $398.8M | /vitl-vs-afri → |
| OTLY Oatly Group AB | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | -6.54% | $255.3M | /otly-vs-afri → |
| BGS B&G Foods Inc. | D | 45/100 | — | 21.8% | 3.3% | +9.71% | $183.7M | /bgs-vs-afri → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001903870In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) reported GAAP revenue of $176.5M (-35.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $274.2M , and -41.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$14.9M, operating cash flow of $356.0K, and free cash flow of -$161.0K (-100.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, AFRI closed FY2025 with $246.9M in total assets against $17.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $176.5M | -$14.9M | $356.0K | -$161.0K | $246.9M | $17.6M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $274.2M | -$24.3M | $23.5M | $21.7M | $246.1M | $13.1M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $302.0M | -$12.7M | $33.3M | $33.3M | — | — |
3. AFRI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs AFRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Forafric Global PLC (NASDAQ: AFRI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $12.63 (-0.08% 1D, market cap $340.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, AFRI ranks #145 in composite RQD confidence.
How does AFRI compare to LWAY and VITL in the Consumer Staples sector?
Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), AFRI carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 10.4%, and ROIC of -16.5%. By comparison, LWAY (Lifeway Foods Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 25.3x, ROIC 15.9%, cap $350.8M) and VITL (Vital Farms Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 6.0x, ROIC 23.1%, cap $398.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VITL leads on earnings multiple (6.0x) while VITL leads on capital efficiency (23.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AFRI?
Per AFRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001903870), Forafric Global PLC generated $176.5M in revenue (-35.6% YoY), -$14.9M in net income, and -$161.0K in free cash flow against $246.9M in total assets and $17.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is AFRI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
AFRI last traded at $12.63 (-0.08% on volume of 14,059 shares), positioning the stock +9.83% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.50) and +21.33% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.41). Across its 52-week range of $8.63 to $13.48, AFRI sits at the 82.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.8% ($11.52 to $13.74).
AFRI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is AFRI stock moving today?
Why AFRI Stock slipped -0.08% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-17% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.