Stock Ratings / Financials / AFG / financials

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American Financial Group Inc. (AFG) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$153.10 +1.87% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

American Financial Group Inc. (AFG) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 6% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $12.70B

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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AFG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.5%

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How AFG Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$1.17B (14.3% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $7.83B

FY24

Rev $8.32B

FY25

Rev $8.17B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$8.17B	52%	13.1%	$842.0M	$1.17B	5.4%
FY 2024	$8.32B	52%	13.5%	$887.0M	$777.4M	5.9%
FY 2023	$7.83B	52%	13.7%	$852.0M	$1.62B	14.9%

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AFG)

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AFG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.51%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-01O $150.3H $153.1L $150.3C $153.1VOL 467.4K

RES: $154.9SUP: $134.1SMA50: $143.9SMA200: $136.5

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AFG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AFG Butterfly Map → + Track AFG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

7.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AFG today. View full Setup Ledger →

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No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AFG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

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DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AFG)

Financials Rank #38 of 287 ⚔️ CNA vs AFG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AFG vs. CNA, RNR, AIZ, EG)

Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (26 Tracked Issuers)

Across 287 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Financial Group Inc. (AFG) ranks #38 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #154 by equity capitalization ($12.70B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RNR leads on earnings valuation at 5.1x trailing P/E, while CNA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.7% ROIC and — gross margin. RNR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with AFG at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AFG ACTIVE American Financial Group Inc.	B	73/100	15.1x	—	5.7%	+1.87%	$12.70B	Benchmark Subject
CNA CNA Financial Corporation	B	73/100	10.3x	—	19.7%	+2.05%	$13.22B	/cna-vs-afg →
RNR RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.	B	75/100	5.1x	—	10.6%	+1.95%	$13.68B	/rnr-vs-afg →
AIZ Assurant Inc.	B	75/100	16.5x	—	5.0%	+2.70%	$14.44B	/aiz-vs-afg →
EG Everest Group Ltd.	B	74/100	9.7x	—	5.5%	+3.54%	$15.36B	/eg-vs-afg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001042046

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), American Financial Group Inc. (AFG) reported GAAP revenue of $8.17B (-1.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.32B , and +4.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $842.0M, operating cash flow of $1.53B, and free cash flow of $1.17B (+49.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, AFG closed FY2025 with $32.64B in total assets against $12.52B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$8.17B	$842.0M	$1.53B	$1.17B	$32.64B	$12.52B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$8.32B	$887.0M	$1.15B	$777.4M	$30.84B	$11.87B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$7.83B	$852.0M	$1.97B	$1.62B	$9.39B	$2.20B

3. AFG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AFG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, American Financial Group Inc. (NYSE: AFG) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $153.10 (+1.87% 1D, market cap $12.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 287 tracked Financials issuers, AFG ranks #38 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AFG compare to CNA and RNR in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), AFG carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.7%. By comparison, CNA (CNA Financial Corporation) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 10.3x, ROIC 19.7%, cap $13.22B) and RNR (RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 5.1x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $13.68B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RNR leads on earnings multiple (5.1x) while CNA leads on capital efficiency (19.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AFG?

Per AFG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001042046), American Financial Group Inc. generated $8.17B in revenue (-1.8% YoY), $842.0M in net income, and $1.17B in free cash flow against $32.64B in total assets and $12.52B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AFG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AFG last traded at $153.10 (+1.87% on volume of 467,378 shares), positioning the stock +6.36% above its 50-day simple moving average ($143.94) and +12.14% above its 200-day simple moving average ($136.52). Across its 52-week range of $123.09 to $155.11, AFG sits at the 93.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.5% ($147.74 to $158.46).

AFG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

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How profitable is American Financial Group Inc. (AFG)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), AFG converted $8.2B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 13.1% operating margin, and $1.2B in free cash flow (14.3% FCF margin).

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