Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation (Class A) (AENT) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$4.62 +4.53% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.65

Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation (Class A) (AENT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $225.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AENT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: AENT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $4.62 (+4.53% 1D, market cap $225.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AENT ranks #207 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AENT compare to CNM and GNLN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Durable Goods), AENT carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.9x, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of 20.2%. By comparison, CNM (Core & Main Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 18.2x, ROIC 14.6%, cap $8.41B) and GNLN (Greenlane Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AENT leads on earnings multiple (14.9x) while AENT leads on capital efficiency (20.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AENT?
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Per AENT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001823584), Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation (Class A) generated $1.06B in revenue (-3.4% YoY), $15.1M in net income, and $26.8M in free cash flow against $434.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.65 (+0.63%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 2.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B
Cash (14)Whales (6)SEC (15)Macro (14)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
$9 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE AENT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AENT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AENT SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.53 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$4.46+0.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$4.50+3.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$4.65-0.6% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$4.62+1.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AENT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, AENT faces multiple-compression risk if 14.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 97.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.92) or 200D SMA ($6.00) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.81) toward Bear Floor ($3.75).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AENT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AENT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your AENT Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $4.62: 2164.5 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $3.75
$8,117
$-1,883 (-18.8%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $4.81
$10,411
+$411 (+4.1%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $9.24
$20,000
+$10,000 (+100.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$574%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$458%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (AENT Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
AENT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -41.07%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $4.54H $4.64L $4.39C $4.62VOL 21.8K
RES: $8.40SUP: $4.11SMA50: $4.92SMA200: $6.00
$8.21$7.14$6.08$5.01$3.95RES $8.40SUP $4.11$4.622026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AENT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
7.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AENT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AENT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AENT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AENT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #207 of 1011 ⚔️ CNM vs AENT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AENT vs. CNM, GNLN, HQI, ASLE)

Industry: Durable Goods (3 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation (Class A) (AENT) ranks #207 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #679 by equity capitalization ($225.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AENT leads on earnings valuation at 14.9x trailing P/E, while AENT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.2% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. AENT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AENT ACTIVE
Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation (Class A)
C+ 67/100 14.9x 96.0% 20.2% +4.53% $225.3M Benchmark Subject
CNM
Core & Main Inc.
C 63/100 18.2x 26.9% 14.6% +0.25% $8.41B /cnm-vs-aent →
GNLN
Greenlane Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D- 38/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -2.39% $1.2M /gnln-vs-aent →
HQI
HireQuest Inc.
C 62/100 35.8x — 7.3% +0.06% $226.6M /hqi-vs-aent →
ASLE
AerSale Corporation
E 28/100 26.1x 31.5% 2.3% +2.99% $223.8M /asle-vs-aent →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001823584

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation (Class A) (AENT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.06B (-3.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.10B , and -8.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $15.1M, operating cash flow of $26.8M, and free cash flow of $26.8M (-51.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, AENT closed FY2025 with $434.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.53, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $1.06B $15.1M $26.8M $26.8M $434.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $1.10B $4.6M $55.8M $55.6M $401.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $1.16B -$35.4M $3.4M $3.4M — —

3. AENT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AENT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: AENT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $4.62 (+4.53% 1D, market cap $225.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AENT ranks #207 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AENT compare to CNM and GNLN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Durable Goods), AENT carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.9x, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of 20.2%. By comparison, CNM (Core & Main Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 18.2x, ROIC 14.6%, cap $8.41B) and GNLN (Greenlane Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AENT leads on earnings multiple (14.9x) while AENT leads on capital efficiency (20.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AENT?

Per AENT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001823584), Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation (Class A) generated $1.06B in revenue (-3.4% YoY), $15.1M in net income, and $26.8M in free cash flow against $434.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AENT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AENT last traded at $4.62 (+4.53% on volume of 22,058 shares), positioning the stock -6.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.92) and -23.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.00). Across its 52-week range of $4.28 to $8.80, AENT sits at the 7.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($4.04 to $5.20).

AENT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is AENT's 12-month stock price target?

Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation (Class A) (AENT) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $4.81 (+4.1% from $4.62), with a bull-case target of $9.24 and a bear-case floor of $3.75.

Is AENT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates AENT C+ (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 67/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 67/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AENT — Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:40:36Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AENT scores 67 out of 100, a C+ grade, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 20.2% and an FCF yield of 11.87%. The cash-generation signal is a relative strength, though the reported margins in the market data are thin (see Snapshot), so the return metrics should be read alongside the margin profile.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 6 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar measures institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the weakest pillar and indicates limited institutional support in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 18 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the strongest pillar and is the main reason the score sits above neutral. Note that the holders section of the source data is empty, so the underlying trade detail cannot be verified here.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The stock's market sensitivity is in line with the broad market, with no defensive or aggressive tilt indicated.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 3.53, a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. These are supportive readings on financial health.

For a prospective investor, the picture is mixed. The strongest support comes from insider flow and balance-sheet forensics; the weakest comes from institutional positioning. The valuation context per the market data is a P/E (TTM) of 14.9 and an EV/EBITDA of 7.5, which is not demanding on those measures, though the margin and earnings base is small. The "Watch for Breakout" label implies the rating is near the neutral boundary and would need a catalyst to move decisively in either direction. This is an educational summary of the score, not a recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
4.62$225.3M14.913.97.50.30%1.0$4.28 - $8.820.2%

Business

Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Durable Goods industry. Per the company profile, it has a market capitalization of $0.2B. The source data does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model. Per the market data, gross margin is 96%, operating margin is 2.8%, and net margin is 1.4%.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the one item in the feed is a MarketBeat report headlined that North Star Investment Management Corp. bought 244,000 shares of AENT, flagged as a yellow-light "Market Wire" item. This is an institutional positioning report; the source data does not provide its date beyond a relative timestamp of "1h ago." Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is marked "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What products does the company sell, and who are its principal customers and suppliers?
  • What are the reported cash and debt balances, and the per-share EPS for each fiscal year?
  • What drove the swing from a net loss of $-35.4M in FY 2023 to net income of $15.1M in FY 2025, and is it recurring?
  • What do the Form 4 insider and 13F filings underlying the Insider Conviction and Whale Flow pillars actually show?
  • Why does the source data show a 96% gross margin alongside a 2.8% operating margin, and what cost structure explains the gap?

AENT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation (Class A) (AENT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AENT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 9d ago
Alliance Entertainment Fell While Sales Rose

If you had watched analysts debate Alliance Entertainment in late 2025 and decided to sit it out, that choice would look very different today. Holding Alliance Entertainment from the start of the year would have meant a

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AENT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.62?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AENT 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AENT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $4.99 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AENT (C+ • RQD 67/100) a Buy at $4.62?

Welcome to the AENT (Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 67/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Durable Goods. Bulls point to capital efficiency (20.2% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.83 (-17.1%)
Spot @ $4.62

Pump the brakes on AENT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AENT, but look at what you are paying: 14.9x trailing P/E with 96.0% gross margins. Unless Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.78 (+25.1%)
Spot @ $4.62

AENT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AENT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Durable Goods and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.62 (52-wk range $4.28 - $8.80), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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